a lil more hectic over here than normal
(I just cant image why :-).
Wink wink, nod, nod)
so Im just gonna try and hit the highlights
(wish me luck lol)
in the following articles.
(There might be some overlap
with what was just been posted.)
US military aircraft no longer visible
at base in Qatar, satellite images show
The Times of Israel 20 June 2025
"Dozens of US military aircraft are no longer on the tarmac at a major US base in Qatar, satellite images show — a possible move to shield them from eventual Iranian air strikes, as Washington weighs whether to intervene in Tehran’s conflict with Israel."
(What is even the question here anymore?)
"Between June 5 and 19, nearly all of the aircraft visible at the Al Udeid base are no longer anywhere in plain sight, according to images published by Planet Labs PBC and analyzed by AFP."
"Nearly 40 military aircraft — including transport planes like the Hercules C-130 and reconnaissance aircraft — were parked on the tarmac on June 5. In an image taken on June 19, only three aircraft are visible."
(I must have read 12 articles about this.
Not one of em ever offered
even a suggestion
of where they
might have went.
Seems a lil odd.)
"2 aircraft carriers, 9 destroyers, and multiple fighter wings gather in the Middle East"
06/20/25
Already covered this,
but ask yourself
when was the last time we did anything
solely for:
"Defensive purposes."
??????????
Armada Of USAF Tankers Just Deployed East Over Atlantic Spurring Speculation (Updated)
06/16/25
Covered that as well.
Here is what TWZ says are
"four possible explanations for the movements
in the context of the Iran-Israel war."
1) The U.S. has decided or is preparing for the possibility that it will provide Israel with aerial refueling support to dramatically accelerate its offensive air operations over Iran.
2) Joining the kinetic fight.
3) Preparing to deal with Iran attempting to close the Strait of Hormuz.
4) Providing a robust air bridge from the U.S. to the Middle East.
(I'd go with #2 if I was you.
Or?
#1 leading to #2,
which will eventually lead to #4.)
Major U.S. Middle East-Focused Buildup Confirmed (Updated)
06/16/25
"The U.S. Navy is sending the supercarrier USS Nimitz and the rest of its strike group to the Middle East amid a new buildup of forces in the region ostensibly for defensive purposes, U.S. officials have told TWZ."
The buildup is simply to big,
involves moving to many assets
around the globe
and is happening to quickly:
"Fox News has separately reported that the decision to send Nimitz to the Middle East, though previously planned, has been accelerated by multiple months"
to be solely for "Defensive purposes".
"I was born at night
but it wasnt last night"
my dad used to say a lot.
Just seen this to many times at this point.
They always say its for:
"Defensive purposes"
before the shit hits the fan.
What do you think they are going to tell you?
"Hey look yall
were getting ready to start WW III"
??????????
How has Iran managed to pierce through Israel’s air defence systems?
Hypersonic missiles, among other techniques, can trick air defence systems.
06/18/25
"On Tuesday, Iran said it hit a military intelligence centre and a Mossad spy agency operations planning centre, breaching Israel’s advanced missile defence systems – some of the most advanced in the world."
(Talked about that on here
I said I thought it was more strategic or nuclear.
Point is, they hit it.)
"In recent history, Israel has successfully intercepted most aerial attacks coming its way through these systems, such as its signature Iron Dome.
So how are Iranian missiles making it past Israel’s air defences?"
"The Iron Dome detects an incoming rocket or missile, determines its path and intercepts it. Israel said the Iron Dome is 90 percent effective. It became operational in 2011 after it was developed to counter rocket attacks during the war with Hezbollah in 2006."
(Thats important because:)
"Gatopoulos explained that the Iron Dome was designed to intercept low-level rockets that larger systems would not be able to detect.
Israel also has the Barak-8 surface-to-air missile system, which intercepts medium-range missiles; the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense system, which intercepts short-, medium- and intermediate-range ballistic missiles;
( Two of the 8 of those in existence
Each unit has a Minimum of
6 batteries of 8 missiles = 48 interceptors.
Double that and its still only 96 interceptors.
Iran still has way more ballistic missiles than that.
Fuel for them and command and control
would seem to issues for the Iranians.)
"...and the David’s Sling, which intercepts medium- to long-range missiles."
"All air defence systems are equipped with a limited number of interceptor missiles, and the exact number of interceptor missiles in Israel’s air defence systems is unknown to the public."
"How has Iran managed to break through?
While we do not know exactly how some Iranian missiles made it past Israeli air defence systems, there are a few possible ways Iranian drones and missiles managed to avoid interception."
"Exhausting interceptor missiles
One way Iran possibly evaded Israeli air defences is by exhausting Israel’s interceptor missiles."
“No system shoots down 100 percent [missiles] anyway,” Miron said, adding: “You cannot shoot down more missiles if you only have a limited number of interceptors.”
(Talked about that extensively here:
Thursday, June 19, 2025
"Hypersonic missiles
Gatopoulos said Iran has hypersonic missiles, a direct reaction to evolving and maturing ballistic missile defences. This is because one way to evade an air defence system is to use missiles that fly faster, giving the air defence system less time to react.'
(Its not only that they have less time.
The interceptors just cant catch up
to something going faster than they can.
Been warning about this threat to the US for years BTW.
See above about 8 THADD systems.)
"Miron said hypersonic missiles are difficult for air defence systems to intercept even if they are detected by radar."
"Some hypersonic missiles are also equipped with a hypersonic glide vehicle (HGV), a warhead attached to a missile that can manoeuvre and glide at speeds five times faster than the speed of sound."
(Roughly 3850 MPH.
2445 miles in the air from NY to LA BTW.)
"In Iran, the Fattah-2 uses the HGV. “It looks like a normal missile with a craft attached to the end of it,” Gatopoulos said.
"Iran Launches First Strike on Israel Using Mach 13+
Can it Turn the Tide of the War?
Military watch magazine 06/18/25
That will be covered more extensively in a separate post
coming up.)
"He explained that besides travelling faster, HGVs also zigzag and do not move on a predictive path like regular ballistic missiles. Such quick, erratic movements evade air defence systems, which are designed to predict the path a missile will take."
(Its a problem yo.)
"Cruise missiles
Cruise missiles can also change their trajectory and become difficult to intercept, Miron said."
"Iran has cruise missiles in its arsenal, such as the Hoveyzeh missile, and has used such missiles against Israel. While these missiles are slower than ballistic missiles, they fly like pilotless planes, low and steady, sneaking past air defences."
"What are other ways air defence systems can be challenged?
Another way air defence systems can be tested is by overloading their systems by tricking them with decoys of drones and missiles, Miron added.
“It shows up as a threat on the radar, but in actuality, it’s not. And usually such decoys are used … to empty the interceptor missile reserve so that the actual missiles and drones can get through.”
"Could Iran or Israel run out of missiles?
Gatopoulos explained that
the conflict between Iran and Israel
is “attritional” at the moment."
(That does not favor Israel.)
“You can loiter there, but only up to a certain amount of time,” he added. He explained that while the US could possibly help Israel with air-to-air refuelling,
(Now you see why all the tankers left a few days ago?)
"adding external tanks on planes makes them lose stealth properties."
(Apparently he didnt know about:
Friday, October 18, 2024
"Lockheed Martin developed conformal fuel tanks
specifically for these jets,
enhancing their range
without significantly affecting aerodynamics or radar signature.")
"Gatopoulos added that this raises questions of:
1) how many missiles Iran has to continue the conflict of attrition
as Israeli planes patrol and try to destroy
any mobile launchers
2) and how many interceptors, Arrow-2 and -3 especially, Israel has that it can keep firing.
(Might add:
How much solid rocket fuel
does Iran have
to power its missiles
as their capability to manufacture it
has also been degraded some time ago.)
Iranian missile with cluster warhead scattered bombs in central Israel, IDF says
"Home Front Command says warhead dropped around 20 munitions randomly over 8-kilometer radius, with one hitting home and others unexploded but still posing threat"
The Times of Israel 06/19/25
(Damage wasnt the point here.
The fact that they used it
and it got through
the missile defenses is.
Expect more.)
Photos of a tense week as Iranian missiles bypass air defenses in retaliatory strikes on Israel
06/20/25
"Iranian attacks have intensified in their frequency and reach since then, despite Israel having one of the most advanced air defense systems in the world."
"Iranian projectiles have been intercepted but some have hit Israeli cities including Tel Aviv, causing extensive damage to infrastructure and residential buildings.
"While Israel maintains air superiority over its enemy and possesses the capacity to strike targets deep inside Iran, the ongoing attacks suggest that missile threats to population centers remain a serious and unresolved challenge."
"Israel has long relied on its multilayered missile defense system to protect communities around the country against rocket barrages from militants in Gaza or Lebanon. Since the wars in the Middle East erupted following Hamas’ attack on southern Israel on Oct. 7, 2023, that list has grown to include fire from rebels in Yemen and Iran."
(This is what everybody is missing
and what I have been saying all along,
there arent "wars" going on in the Middle East,
they are all different fronts of the same war.
"Well what is the difference Andrew?"
The difference is,
if you understood why Israel
was taking out Iran's proxies
in the region?
Then you would have understood Israel
(and US matter of time)
going after Irans nuclear program
was the goal all along
and what that means for humaity.
If only there was a book.
"This gallery offers a visual account of a tense and unpredictable week in Israel, one marked by continued Iranian and Israeli strikes and questions about the limits of modern air defense.'
(The people that are launching the cheaper, faster, more maneuverable missiles, and have more of them, than the other side has more expensive, harder to manufacture interceptors, have a built in advantage long term.)
US air defences intercept Iran’s latest missile wave
Middle East Monitor 06/19/25
(I told honey right then, Israel is already having to ration
its interceptors. See why the buildup of US assets in the region now?)
"Israel’s Channel 12 has reported that
the latest wave of Iranian missiles
was intercepted by American air defence systems."
"On Tuesday, the public relations department of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced the launch of the twelfth wave of the “True Promise 3” operation, using heavy, long-range, two-stage Sejjil missiles.'
"Over the past two days,
(Presumably 06/17-06/18)
several Israeli defence systems
failed to activate,
and some interceptor missiles landed
in various areas inside Israel.'
(Gives Creedence to:
"I told honey right then,
Israel is already having to ration
its interceptors.")
New missile enters Israel-Iran conflict:
What we know about Tehran's Sejil
6/20/25
(Suffice it to say,
Israel is running out of interceptors
as Iran in starting to use it's more complex missiles.
It is not a good combination.)
"Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) on Wednesday announced the use of a super-heavy Sejil missile as part of what it said was the 12th wave of strikes on Israel."
"...the Sejil missile's launch against Israel marks the first time one of its prized assets was used in direct confrontation."
"Its real-world application also reveals a shift in gears in Tehran's deterrence calculations and response."
(Translation?
Now that we know you are low on interceptors?
Were gonna start using the big dogs.)
"The Sejil is manoeuvrable in all stages of flight, making it difficult to intercept by conventional air defence systems. Although details on its speed are unclear, Tehran reportedly stated that it is capable of reaching Tel Aviv in approximately seven minutes if launched from central Iran."
(Pretty damn fast however you wanna look at it.)
"Israeli authorities said on Thursday that the Sejil was successfully intercepted, with debris causing damage to a vehicle."
Propaganda from the NYT anybody?
06/19/25
(Any time now basically.)
US quietly pulls military jets
from Qatar airbase amid Iran strike fears
Updated 06/20/25
"Based on the fact that
there’s a substantial chance
of negotiations
that may or may not take place
with Iran in the near future,
I will make my decision whether or not to go within the next two weeks," Karoline Leavitt, the press secretary, told reporters, quoting Trump."
Does:
"there’s a substantial chance
of negotiations
that may or may not take place"
make a lick of sense to anybody?
Cause it sure doesn't make any to me.
must brace for ‘prolonged campaign’
06/20/25
"Eyal Zamir says Iran had 2,500 missiles at start of campaign, was set to reach 8,000 in two years; military sources indicate Israel not running low on interceptors"
1) A war of attrition does not favor Israel.
2) What do you think they would say?
"Oh yeah, were running out."
Somebody said
that this was the plan
the very first time the Houthis
ever launched a missile at Israel.
Wednesday, November 1, 2023
(That is another reason this is SO significant.
The JV team
(Iranians)
can and probably will
overwhelm and exhaust
Israeli air defenses.
And if they can do that?
They can get us to exhaust
some of our carrier groups
missile defenses as well.
Right as were leading into
China and Taiwan etc.)
And not just ours
but Israels as well.
Qatar, Arab and Islamic countries call for
immidiate halt to Israeli ‘hostilities’
Doha news 06/17/25
"Qatar and 19 other Arab and Islamic countries have jointly called for an immediate termination of Israeli attacks on Iran, urging diplomacy to resolve issues related to Iran’s nuclear program.'
06/16/25
"...the State of Qatar, People's Democratic Republic of Algeria, the Kingdom of Bahrain, Brunei Darussalam, the Republic of Chad, the Union of the Comoros, the Republic of Djibouti, the Arab Republic of Egypt, the Republic of Iraq, the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan, the State of Kuwait, the State of Libya, the Islamic Republic of Mauritania, the Islamic Republic of Pakistan, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, the Federal Republic of Somalia, the Republic of the Sudan, the Republic of Türkiye, the Sultanate of Oman, and the United Arab Emirates"
"Theres battle lines being drawn.."
Decision time.
Choose wisely.
Eternity is at stake.
Godspeed.
Journey well friends.
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