Good Read

 

If Russia invades Ukraine, what's next?

"...if the West and NATO are to maintain credibility, there must be a response."

There are fissures already in the NATO alliance. Splitting NATO means there is no NATO. It means it's over for the west and autocratic governments (China and Russia) will fill the void. It's a lil hard to tell the rest of the world y'all all need to be like us when were fighting among ourselves and are broke. Russia like "yeah don't listen to them they are infighting and they're broke." Russia has a $600 billion surplus in its coffers to fight a war with BTW, no debt...$600 Bil to the black.

Our options:

A) "Thus far, sanctions up to and including measures against President Vladimir Putin and his inner circle, disconnecting Russia from the SWIFT banking network and supporting an insurgency against Russian forces, have all been floated as possible options."

"sanctions up to and including measures against President Vladimir Putin and his inner circle" it's already been done and has had lil if any effect.

B) "disconnecting Russia from the SWIFT banking network" They are working with China and others to build their own, the threat to remove the Russians from it it will not have the desired disincentivizing effect.

C) "supporting an insurgency against Russian forces" Insurgencies can go on for decades. US and our allies are gonna have that kinda patience and stamina to endure something like that? And it cost $. Probably for decades. 

So were really left with no good options.

Russia's response, to our response when they invade, is where the real trouble starts and just like the article mentions, would likely come on these three fronts.

Oil, gas, minerals and resources

"suspension of the oil and gas transshipment...The disruption of the sale of critical raw materials will have considerable knock-on effects in other markets, perhaps just as much as oil and gas prices."

(Particularly with Europe)

Cyber war

"Imagine a NotPetya-style attack on the United States in which computers of the financial sector and power grid, along with regular businesses, are wiped."

(Been saying that for a long time now)

NotPetya

Political Warfare Campaigns

"Moscow could expand its efforts to exacerbate existing schisms within European countries and in the United States through online manipulation and more. With an alarming portion of the American population already questioning the veracity of elections, little additional effort would be needed to cause further chaos and division.   

It's pretty obvious who has the upper hand here and it's not us. 

I can here the reactionaries already: "Well we oughta..." 

What exactly are you gonna tell the people who can shut down/cripple the power grid and can completely wipe out financial records?

As if Inflation and climate change weren't enough to tell you the trajectory were on? Throw this in the mix as well. And Today the Russians are saying diplomacy is still on table etc? Stall tactic to get them where they want to be.

Everybody's walkin around like I want the new Galaxy S22 or the new iphone 48 or whatever it is and I'll be glad when things get back to "normal" so I can make my tic toc videos and hopefully one of them goes viral and... 

I'm over here like:

Revelation 10:10-11

I took the little scroll from the angel’s hand and ate it. It tasted as sweet as honey in my mouth, but when I had eaten it, my stomach turned sour. Then I was told, “You must prophesy again about many peoples, nations, languages and kings.”

When you receive the spiritual gift of prophecy? It is so amazing...you are so overwhelmed...it taste so sweet to you at first...feels so good etc...then...when you see what's coming? And that not many are going to listen to you etc.  That's when it turns sour in your belly. That's where we are now.

I love you baby :-).