It

 

wont happen.

(Codifying sanctions (making them law) that is)

The West needs to codify Russia sanctions before it is too late

"...with the Kremlin refusing to even consider any serious diplomatic solution to the conflict – the G7 and NATO must begin looking at the potential threats to their ability to continue providing support to Kyiv over the medium and long term."

(They have been planning on this for years, they were "all in" from the get go. They will not turn back or seek a diplomatic settlement.)

"First and foremost, it is important that the West act to ensure that its strategy is indeed sustainable “for as long as it takes” for Russia to be defeated. That may be quite some time, and the West is far more susceptible to public pressure, and thus to the negative economic impact of the sanctions, than Putin ever will be."

"...does believe that it can overcome them (sanctions) so long as there are still markets willing to import its oil and gas, and so long as the rouble remains convertible."

("The world is going to need their oil and minerals more than it cares about Ukrainians freedom" I remember somebody saying.)

"This is because it believes (Russia does) that Western unity will falter as the economic impact of sanctioning Russia bites in the West."

(It was kinda factored into the calculus beforehand, yup)

"the reality is that sanctions will have a significant economic and political impact in the West."

(See my statement above)

"the reality is that the West is already facing a significant economic cost for its sanctions policy against Russia and is only likely to face more over the coming months. Moscow is working hard to ensure this, selectively cutting off gas supplies to European nations unwilling to pay for them in roubles"

"The sky-high oil prices caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the subsequent sanctioning of its hydrocarbons are helping to fuel inflation in the West, and in turn, limit support for blanket cut-offs of Russian exports. Germany is already preparing for gas rationing this winter. Fertiliser supplies risk falling into shortage given Russia’s role in producing and exporting many key products, threatening not only global agricultural supply chains but also the livelihoods of farmers. All of these pressures will only grow as Russia’s invasion continues. New measures are getting increasingly difficult to agree on, as seen by the fact that discussions are still continuing regarding the “price cap” proposals for Russian oil even after the G7 summit concluded on June 27'

(How long do you think public sentiment is going to keep supporting the war effort in Ukraine when Europe's populace is freezing cold this winter? "The sky-high oil prices caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the subsequent sanctioning of its hydrocarbons are helping to fuel inflation in the West" Again, all part of the plan.)

"All of these pressures will only grow as Russia’s invasion continues." You going to try and argue Putin didnt know that before he launched the invasion?

(I've Been saying since the get go a prolonged conflict benefits our adversaries, not us. So why should we think he wanted a quick end to the conflict to start with?)

"Public attention to the war in Ukraine, however, is falling across the West, and voters are likely to prioritise economic concerns over humanitarian ones in upcoming polls.'

(This is a people(s) whose national mantra might as well be, "We are tougher than you, we will outlast you. We've done it before (see Stalingrad) and we will do it again)

"Donald Trump is clearly seeking a return to the presidency, and has not only threatened to unwind NATO in the past, but has taken a soft position towards the Kremlin repeatedly, and been willing to toy with Ukrainian politics for his own perceived benefit. If he returns to the White House, he may move to remove existing sanctions on Russia rather than working to impose new ones."

(Thats a very valid point)

"...it is paramount that sanctions be codified in legislation..."

(Why?

So that the powers that be will just overturn them when their citizens start freezing to death this winter? It just wont make any difference long term if they are made into law or not.)