Iranian Anti-Ship Missiles vs. US Navy Carriers
19fortyfive.com 2/12/25
(Remember that date
it is important throughout.)
"Tehran possesses long-range cruise missiles like the Soumar and Hoveizeh, which could target U.S. Navy ships."
"Key Point #1 – These sea-skimming weapons pose a significant threat, but the U.S. Navy’s Aegis Combat System, electronic warfare, and advanced missile defenses like SeaRAM and SEWIP Block III provide robust protection."
(Their missiles got past the
U.S. Navy’s Aegis Combat System
last time.
Not those specific missiles
and they weren't targeted at ships
but we had guided missile destroyers
in the region
with Aegis Combat Systems
expressly for the purpose of
providing Israel with more protection
from Iranian missiles and Iranian missiles
got through.
"The success rates of Iranian ballistic missile strikes has already far exceeded the expectations of most Western assessments, and is expected to continue to rise as the Israeli surface-to-air missile arsenal is increasingly depleted. The Israeli Arrow, Barak 8 and David’s Sling systems capable of intercepting medium range missile attacks are estimated to have only a very small number of interceptors available compared to the size of the Iranian arsenals, with support from U.S. Army THAAD anti-missile systems based in Israel and from nearby U.S. Navy AEGIS destroyers only partly alleviating pressure on the Israeli network.
Iran Launches First Strike on Israel
Using Mach 13+ Fattah Hypersonic Missile:
Can it Turn the Tide of the War?
militarywatchmagazine.com 6/18/25)
"Key Point #2 –
If Iran were to strike,
the U.S. could respond
with F-35C stealth fighters"
(Again this was written a year ago.
when tensions were high
2/12/25.
When was the last time Iran
STARTED
a war?
Not in my lifetime.
Now think about
US.
Those F-35C stealth fighters
are on the Abraham Lincoln
as well as the USS Gerald Ford
(which isn't in the region as of yet)
"Could the Iranians launch their own carrier-killing missiles
like the Chinese are able to do in East Asia?"
See:
Wednesday,
November 1, 2023
past the headline.
“The fact that there’s another front directly to the south raises the risk that Israel (air defenses) can be overwhelmed and then it can be that much more worrying” if Hezbollah, Hamas and others launch massive missile barrages.
(That is another reason this is SO significant.
The JV team
(Iranians)
can and probably will
overwhelm and exhaust
Israeli air defenses.
And if they can do that?
They can get us to exhaust
some of our carrier groups
missile defenses as well.
Right as were leading into
China and Taiwan etc.)
"The Reach of Iranian Anti-ship Missiles
The Iranians have long-range cruise missiles that could be aimed at the Truman strike group,
(This was a year ago remember)
and they could target the American ships in the Eastern Mediterranean plus the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz."
"Iran has the Soumar and the Hoveizeh cruise missiles. The Soumar has a range of more than 1,800 miles. The Hoveizeh is a variant of the Soumar and has a range of 839 miles. The Hoveizeh has an accurate inertial guidance system that could hit a moving ship. It reportedly can strike a target radius of three feet.
That may be overstated by the Iranians and a form of braggadocio, but it is safe to say that the missile is a threat to U.S. Navy carriers."
(It's not overstated.
Not in the least:
Saturday, June 21, 2025
the truth you didn't wanna hear about.
Iran Launches First Strike on Israel
Using Mach 13+ Fattah Hypersonic Missile:
Can it Turn the Tide of the War?
Military watch magazine 06/18/25
So that article was four months
AFTER
the article we are currently
working our way through:
19fortyfive.com 2/12/25
The whole point of this post
is to give people an awareness
of Iranian missile capabilities
they are not aware of.
The fact that I had to use an article this old
to give an accurate picture of those capabilities
tells me people don't want you to know about the
Iranian capabilities.
This used to not be all that hard to find.
Now I had to dig to find it.
It may not mean anything to you
but it says a whole hell of a lot to me.
Now from:
Iran Launches First Strike on Israel
Using Mach 13+ Fattah Hypersonic Missile:
Can it Turn the Tide of the War?
Military watch magazine 06/18/25
Unveiled in June 2023, the Fattah has a 1400 kilometre range, and according to Iranian sources uses a hypersonic glide vehicle to achieve a terminal speed of Mach 13 to Mach 15. Its combination of speed and manoeuvrability make it nearly impossible to intercept."
"With Israeli air defences have struggled to intercept attacks launched using much simpler ballistic missile classes, including relatively basic missile designs built in Yemen,
their viability against
more advanced missile classes
has long been in serious question.
Hypersonic glide vehicles represent one of the most challenge targets an air defence network can face."
"The success rates of Iranian
ballistic missile strikes
has already far exceeded
the expectations
of most Western assessments,
and is expected to continue to rise
as the Israeli
surface-to-air missile arsenal
is increasingly depleted."
That was written four months after:
"Iran has the Soumar and the Hoveizeh cruise missiles. The Soumar has a range of more than 1,800 miles. The Hoveizeh is a variant of the Soumar and has a range of 839 miles. The Hoveizeh has an accurate inertial guidance system that could hit a moving ship. It reportedly can strike a target radius of three feet.
That may be overstated by the Iranians
and a form of braggadocio."
So Im gonna go with
NO.
NO IT IS NOT
"overstated by the Iranians
and a form of braggadocio"
As they have already shown
what they can do.)
"Sea-skimming Missiles Are More Difficult to Track
The Hoveizeh also skims low above the sea to avoid radar. This could be dangerous to the strike group. Usually, carriers operate a few hundred miles close to shorelines in order for their aircraft to be able to threaten land targets without refueling.
This would give the Iranian cruise missiles a chance to hit a ship."
Exactly what I said earlier today:
Tuesday, February 17, 2026
USS Abraham Lincoln...Lets take a look...
"Our aircraft carriers
have to get within striking range of Iran's Missiles
in order to get the planes close enough.
600 miles is about the greatest range
(Maybe somewhat longer but not much.)
To stay out of their range?
Air refeulers would be needed.
IT'S A PROBLEM.
One you will not hear about.
Its why all the growler
electronic warfare planes are being put
in the region, we know
what a tussle this is going to be.)
Back to
Iranian Anti-Ship Missiles vs. US Navy Carriers
19fortyfive.com 2/12/25
"The Soumar is a threat, too, and has been for at least 20 years. “The origin of the Soumar appears to be from the nuclear-capable Russian Kh-55. In 2005, Russia acknowledged that 12 Kh-55s [without nuclear warheads] were illegally sold to Iran in 2001 through a black market counterfeit operation,” according to the Center for Strategic and International Studies.
"These two missiles require high levels of maintenance and upkeep, and Iran must have a modern launching system to target carriers and their escort ships.
(They have underground facilities.
They have been planning for this moment
since the Iranian revolution in 79.)
"There is also the question of whether they can be produced domestically in numbers with enough to threaten a large contingent of civilian ships and military vessels."
"The U.S. Navy Can Protect Itself Well
It is also unknown whether the Soumar is as accurate as the Hoveizeh. Can it hit moving targets? How precise is the guidance system? The carrier strike group escort ships have a highly effective and battle-tested Aegis Combat System that protects against enemy missiles, so the carrier is not defenseless."
(It hasn't ever seen anything like:
"Unveiled in June 2023, the Fattah has a 1400 kilometre range, and according to Iranian sources uses a hypersonic glide vehicle to achieve a terminal speed of Mach 13 to Mach 15. (9974 mph) Its combination of speed and maneuverability make it nearly impossible to intercept."
Iran Launches First Strike on Israel
Using Mach 13+ Fattah Hypersonic Missile:
Can it Turn the Tide of the War?
Military watch magazine 06/18/25)
"Another way to foil Iranian missiles would be to use electronic warfare from EA-18G Growler jamming airplanes.
This could spoof an incoming missile fired from Iran.
There are other defensive options."
(Apparently it is what we are counting on
or we wouldn't be sending so many of them to the region.)
“US Navy DDG 51 Arleigh Burke class destroyers are now armed with lasers, improved range high-fidelity radar, upgraded interceptors and a new generation of more precise electronic warfare technology called SEWIP Block III.
Closer-in interceptors such as SeaRAM, Rolling AirFrame Missile, and Close-in-Weapons System have also been upgraded as well."
(None of that is going to do shit
against something going 9974 mph.
Hence the growlers.)
"If even one Iranian missile got through the protective umbrella and damaged or sunk an American ship, how would the U.S. Navy respond?"
(All they have to do is get a couple through our defenses.
while we have to be right 100% of the time.
The odds are simply not in our favor.
I read a white paper
"A white paper is an authoritative, in-depth report that outlines a specific problem and presents a detailed, evidence-based solution or perspective. Primarily used in business-to-business (B2B) marketing and government, these documents aim to educate readers and influence decision-making regarding technology, policy, or complex issues."
years ago
12?13?
I cant remember, but it had
the US loosing two carriers
in the opening minutes of a conflict
with Iran, and
the only thing that saved us
and enabled us to come back
and eventually subdue them
was our ability to refuel and rearm our aircraft
at our military bases in the middle east.
Now Iran has drones that can hit those bases
that it didn't have
when that paper was written.
Kinda hard to land aircraft
when the runway has a 30 foot crater in it.
THIS AINT NO CAKEWALK
LIKE YOU ARE BEING FORCE FED.
NOT AT ALL.)
"The F-35C would need to be within 500 miles of the target before it would need to refuel. A more extended strike range would require in-air refueling and that would limit the level of stealthiness the F-35C enjoys. The Navy could also use the carrier-launched unmanned MQ-25 Stingray refueler drone."
"Iran does have anti-ship missiles that could target carrier strike groups. However, there are many ways that the U.S. Navy has protection. The missiles could be jammed or shot down."
(We are not going to shoot down something going 9000+ MPH.
We dont have anything that can catch up to it.
Hence the growlers, the best shot we got is:
"The missiles could be jammed."
We hope.)
"The Americans should operate with high confidence that they can survive in the Middle East."
(This was written six moths before Iran used the Mach 13+ Fattah Hypersonic Missile, needless to say, things changed since then.)
"There is always a chance of a missile launch, but the Iranian missiles would not be a showstopper and if even one got through the anti-missile screen to damage or destroy an American ship there would be a response from fighter jets to even the score."
(This aint about tit for tat anymore.
Iran feels like its do or die this time
and is willing to wage all out war in the region
and had said as much.)
"Iran may not wish to push the U.S. Navy
and create a counter-strike
that could make a larger war."
(This is now a fight for their very survival.
They couldn't care less
about a larger regional conflict.
"Hey?
if we are going down?
So are some others in the region."
Would seem to be much more applicable than
caring about any larger regional war breaking out)
"Look for carrier strike groups
to continue their patrols in the Middle East
with the intention that
they can project power
without any losses."
Hardly.
Saturday, May 10, 2025
"Okay so roughly seven weeks.
Lost 7 reaper drones
at a cost of 28 million each.
(196 million)
2 jet fighters lost overboard
(roughly 140 million.)
Spent a billion
during the first three weeks
of the operation
sending off alarm bells
to the Indo-pacific command.
So if we spent another
billion?
The second three weeks?
Like we did the first?
Roughly 2.3 billion"
(That was just three months after:
"Look for carrier strike groups to continue their patrols in the Middle East with the intention that they can project power without any losses."
was written.
Also see:
Tuesday, May 6, 2025
Axios 2/6/25
Which was actually written prior to
"they can project power
without any losses."
Seems like somebody should have known better
than to write what they did.
Here is the moral of the story:
Ezekiel 16:49
Behold, this was the iniquity
of thy sister Sodom,
1) PRIDE
(arrogance)
2) fulness of bread,
(Fat)
and abundance of idleness
(Lazy)
was in her and in her daughters,
neither did she
strengthen the hand
of the poor and needy.
("It's their own fault!")
So who does that sound like
to you today hum?
Cause it sure sound like
US
to me.
Proverbs 16:18
Pride goeth before destruction,
and an haughty spirit
before a fall.
We should be expecting the same exact result
that Sodom and her sister city's faced.
Love warns about impending judgement.
Yes it does.
Also consider:
Iran’s ballistic missile arsenal: Types, ranges, and regional impact - explainer
The Jerusalem Post 2/4/26
"According to a 2023 report by Behnam Ben Taleblu, a Senior Fellow at the US-based Foundation for Defense of Democracies, Iran continues to develop underground missile depots complete with transport and firing systems, as well as subterranean missile production and storage centers. In 2020, Iran fired a ballistic missile from underground for the first time, it said."
"The Arms Control Association says Iran's missile program is largely based on North Korean and Russian designs and has benefited from Chinese assistance."
"In October, CNN reported that China had been playing a large part in helping Iran rebuild its missile capabilities following the 12-day war's destruction."
"According to that report, CNN, citing European intelligence sources, reported that Iran received shipments containing over 2,000 tons of sodium perchlorate, a key ingredient in the production of the solid-fuel propellant Iran uses in its missiles."
Regional attacks
Iran responded to US participation in Israel's air war against Iran in June by firing missiles at the US Al Udeid air base in Qatar, but Tehran gave advance warning, and no one was hurt. Washington announced a ceasefire hours later.
And what they dont ever tell you is this:
Saturday, July 12, 2025
I love how they do this stuff...
Iran’s attack on Qatar air base
hit geodesic dome used for US communications,
AP
Updated 4:48 07/11/25
DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — An Iranian attack on an air base in Qatar that’s key to the U.S. military hit a geodesic dome housing equipment used by the Americans for secure communications, satellite images analyzed Friday by The Associated Press show."
"The Iranian attack otherwise did little damage — likely because of the fact that the U.S. evacuated its aircraft from the base, which is home to the forward headquarters of the U.S. military’s Central Command, before the attack.'
"Washington announced a ceasefire hours later."
Well I wonder why?
IT IS.
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