(That's at the bottom of the piece BTW)
First of all?
I saw this headline yesterday:
Israeli official says ceasefire in Lebanon
The first thing I thought was:
"Well of course you can have a ceasefire in Lebanon
in two weeks, Hezbollah's main benefactor (Iran)
wont exist in the same form by then as it does currently."
"Israel can reach a ceasefire deal
to end the conflict with Hezbollah in Lebanon
within 10-14 days, an Israeli official tells Channel 12 news."
If you just lost your main benefactor?
In a manner you never saw coming?
You might wanna make a deal too.
Throw in on top of that
something Honey just recently saw/read:
Iran says it can produce nuclear weapon
if faced with existential threat
Nov 1, 2024
"Iran is capable of producing nuclear weapons and an existential threat could cause a rethink of the Supreme Leader's injunction against them, one of his top foreign policy advisors told Lebanese news outlet Al Mayadeen.
"If the Islamic Republic of Iran faces an existential threat, we would have no choice but to adjust our military doctrine," Former foreign minister Kamal Kharrazi said in an interview with the pro-Tehran channel."
(IF? Seriously? Dude, you got no anti-aircraft batteries, no advance warning radars and no militia in Lebanon that can coordinate with you. What do you honestly think is on the horizon?)
"We already have the technical capabilities to produce weapons; only a religious decree forbidding nuclear weapons prevents us from doing so, he added, referring to a religious decree by the country's ultimate decision maker Ali Khamenei."
(Well...lets just say
other parties to the conflict,
(Israel and the US)
Quite obviously.
are not going to put their faith in:
"a religious decree
by the country's ultimate decision maker
Ali Khamenei"
"Kharrazi heads the Strategic Council on Foreign Relations and has hinted before that Iran could ditch its stated opposition to acquiring nuclear weapons but was offering his first public remarks since Israeli air strikes on Iran on Oct. 26."
"Members of the body he leads are by handpicked by Khamenei and its reports and advisories have often presaged major policy shifts by the ruling system."
(Translation?
If they hadnt already?
(Which they have)
They have changed their minds
about pursuing nuclear weapons.
And now they are letting it be known.)
"Iran has maintained that it will not pursue nuclear arms because the 2010 fatwa banned all weapons of mass destruction including nuclear bombs. The decree could potentially be interpreted by Iranian decision-makers as an advisory opinion lacking legal status, however."
(See above about US and Israel not putting their faith in it.)
"Israel launched air strikes on military targets in Iran over the weekend in response to a missile barrage Tehran fired on the Jewish state on Oct. 1.
The attack hit missile facilities and air defense capabilities, killing four Iranian soldiers and a civilian."
"Kharrazi told Al Mayadaeen that Iran would seek to expand the reach of weapons. "There’s a possibility that Iran may increase its missile range," he said."
"Upping Iran's official rhetoric, all three top leaders of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps on Thursday said a damaging counterstrike to Israel by Tehran was assured."
Think Israel didn't/doesnt know that?
(My opinion is well documented
they already have nuclear weapons
they just haven't got it squared away
with the delivery mechanism just yet.
Hence the cheap drones to Russia in exchange for the tech.)
Are you not understanding that neither the Israelis or the US will ever let that come to fruition? And that this is the entire reason for the war in Gaza? The decapitation of Hezbollah? The reason Israel has taken out the anti aircraft batteries in Iran and Radars in Iran, Syria and Iraq?
"Well a two state solution blah blah blah...
With what? A ruling governing body of the second state (Hamas) that doesn't think Israel has the right to exist and will slaughter 1000's of your citizens? This is the "governance" of the two-state solution that Israel has no choice but to accept? You have already seen what will happen again if they do.
SIMPLY PUT:
HAMAS MADE A TWO STATE OPTION IRRELEVANT.
PEOPLE ARE JUST NOT UNDERSTANDING:
ITS TIME!
AND NOW THE MOST IMPORTANT STORY OF THE WEEKEND:
Pentagon bolsters US presence in Middle East with B-52 bombers and warships
(The Times of Israel,
By AP
1 November 2024, 11:28 pm
The original AP story
(which the Times of Israel contributed to is here:
Pentagon bolsters the US presence in the Middle East
with bombers, fighter aircraft and warships
(Notice it doesn't say what type of Bombers
(the B 52's, which as we will see later on
almost assuredly are now capable of carrying
30,000 lbs "bunker Busters".)
are being sent
and that it was updated at 4:31 EST.
And Just like we have seen in the past,
and is documented on this blog?
Important stories get dumped
right before 5 PM EST on Friday afternoons
right when
the all important US East Coast Media
goes home for the weekend.)
"Planes and ships deployed to fill the gap as the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier and its warships prepare to leave the region before USS Harry S. Truman arrives."
(Sending two bombers
to the region
that have been modified
and are now cappable
of carrying
if not multiple ones?)
isnt exactly
"filling a gap."
if you know what Im saying.
almost as many
as the rest of the world combined.
AND WE CANT MANAGE
TO ROTATE ONE IN
BEFORE THE OTHER ONE LEAVES?)
"the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier and its warships prepare to leave the region before USS Harry S. Truman arrives."
(WTF?
You can make the argument:
"We are intentionally leaving the door open for an Iranian response to Israel's attack on Iran on Oct 26th, so that we can justify what we have already decided we were gonna do anyway.
"...and the question was how we should maneuver them (The Japanese) into the position of firing the first shot with-out allowing too much danger to ourselves."
From Henry Stimson's Diary
(FDR War Secretary).
In our current case?
Its the Iranians
and not the Japanese
that are being maneuvered:
"Here's your chance ayatollahs
we both know
you'll never get another one."
And its not:
"The first shot"
Its:
"the one(s) that justifies us
doing what we were gonna do anyway.)
And they are gonna take it:
Iran’s supreme leader threatens Israel and US
with ‘a crushing response’ over Israeli attack
AP 11/02/24
I said it a while back,
multiple times over:
Iran's best shot at retaliation
is when one of the two carries leaves.
"The U.S. has one aircraft carrier in the region, the USS Abraham Lincoln, which had been slated to leave around mid-October. Austin has extended its deployment for about another month, according to one of the officials."
(Takes us to mid November, Interesting.)
(Honey said and I am sure others thought:
"Well they will just move another carrier in."
And now here we are,
and moving another carrier in
before the other one leaves just
isnt going to happen
And?
We are sending two
to the area.)
Back to the article:
"Austin ordered several B-52 Stratofortress bomber aircraft, tanker aircraft and Navy destroyers to deploy to the Middle East, according to four US and defense officials who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss troop movements."
(Tanker aircraft:
"Fill a void."
Or serve a purpose?
Why do you need tanker aircraft?
What "void" exactly are you filling?
Mid air refueling yo...)
"The moves come at a critical time as Israel’s wars with Hamas in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon rage, even as officials press for a ceasefire."
("The move comes at a critical time"
Well thank you captain obvious.
You can forget about a ceasefire.
Israel has planned/rehearsed for this moment for decades.
Developed weapons we wouldn't sell them etc.
And now they (and the US) are gonna put it to use.
This is what this has been all about since the Hamas attack.)
"The long-range nuclear-capable B-52 bomber has been repeatedly deployed to the Middle East in pointed warnings to Iran and it is the second time this month that strategic US bombers will be used to bolster US defenses in the region. Earlier this month, B-2 stealth bombers were used to strike underground Houthi targets in Yemen.
The B-2's?
Are not the only ones
who can carry
the MOAB.
Why use stealth?
When there's no
radars or antiaircraft capability
anymore?
Why not use older
cheaper technology first?
You know,
kind of like the Russians
have done in Ukraine?
Save your best
heavy hitters for later
when it is REALLY gonna matter?
The Air Force Wants Its B-52s To Carry Mysterious 20,000lb Weapons Under Their Wings
"Since the Air Force specifically says the requirement for the HRC pylon is based on a “current” weapon, one immediate possibility is that the Air Force is interested in giving the aircraft the ability to carry the massive GBU-43/B Massive Ordnance Air Blast (MOAB), also known as the “Mother of All Bombs.”
This huge air-bursting weapon offers a devastating capability against exposed targets over a wide area. It also is particularly effective at destroying caves and tunnel complexes with its blast wave, which can suck the air of individuals’ lungs and cause massive internal injuries from the overpressure in a confined space."
"A B-52 carrying multiple MOABs would offer a dramatically increased capability and could fly higher and further than the smaller MC-130s. This could give the Air Force more flexibility in employing the weapon and the potential to do so in higher-risk scenarios.
(Why do you think we are sending multiple B52 stratofortresses to the area? Hum? The rest of the world is like, well it takes a B-2 stealth Bomber to carry those...yeah...right...youre about to find out different.)
"Otherwise, there are few other obvious weapon systems that would require the HRC pylons. The bombers can already carry the GBU-57/B Massive Ordnance Penetrator (MOP), which is designed to burrow deep into hardened facilities far underground, internally, but has only done so in testing.
The Air Force envisions employing these bombs almost exclusively for strikes against targets deep in denied areas where the B-52 would be unable to survive.
(That's not true in this case.
Again?
Why do you think the Israelis took out the antiaircraft and radar instillations?)
"As such, the service says the only platform set up to carry the MOPs on actual operations is the B-2 Spirit stealth bomber. The GBU-57/B is in the 30,000-pound weight class, which would make it too heavy for even the new HRC pylon anyway."
(That was posted on:
Jun 22, 2018.
Still think the
B52 stratofortresses
cant carry
GBU-57/B's?
CAUSE I DONT.)
"According to a US official, the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier and the three Navy destroyers in its strike group are scheduled to leave the Middle East by mid-month and return to their home port in San Diego."
"When the Lincoln departs, there will be no aircraft carrier in the Middle East for a period of time, the official said. To make up for that gap, Austin is ordering the deployment of other Navy destroyers to the region."
"Those destroyers, which are capable of shooting down ballistic missiles, would come either from the Indo-Pacific region or Europe, the official said."
(Translation?
China is salivating.
Witness:
PLA Navy Holds First-Ever Dual Carrier Formation)
November 2, 2024
Back to:
Pentagon bolsters US presence in Middle East
with B-52 bombers and warships
"Eventually, it is expected that the USS Harry S. Truman aircraft carrier and its three warships will move to the Mediterranean Sea, but they won’t get there before the Lincoln departs."
"Officials declined to say how long there will be a carrier gap in the Middle East."
(Long enough for Iran to want to seize the opportunity to retaliate.)
US long-range B-2 stealth bombers target underground bunkers of Yemen’s Houthi rebels
October 17, 2024
“This was a unique demonstration of the United States’ ability to target facilities that our adversaries seek to keep out of reach, no matter how deeply buried underground, hardened or fortified,” Austin said.
Think we did that then
just for shits and giggles?
Now we don't even need
the stealth aspect.
ITS BOUT TO GET REAL IN WAYS YOU CAN NOT EVEN IMAGINE.
AINT BUT ONE WAY OUT:
If only there was a book
that explained it all.
Fact is?
There is.
GODSPEED EVERYBODY.
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