The Fighting in Ethiopia Is Part of a Far Bigger Conflict
NewYorker.com 10/07/26
Powers in the Horn of Africa,
the Middle East, and beyond
are being drawn toward the conflict,
which diplomatic efforts
have failed to stop.
It is complex and some of the conflicts are longstanding
and many of them overlap and have participants that in the past
have been on one or more of the other sides involved.
Roughly
All of that area inside the black
currently has active conflicts going on.
(Turkey had an Iranian missile
(or several, cant remember)
fall in its territory)
Remember all the talk about
containing the Israel/Hamas war?
Thats all it was was talk.
And when we and Israel hit Iran again?
It will spread into Europe
and we already got Ukraine and Russia
going on.
For my purposes here today
Im not going to get into
all of the things going on with
the horn of Africa.
You can read the article for yourself
like I said, the situation is pretty complex.
But there is a point
that needs to be made here.
"If talk of a collapsing “international order” can feel like a distant abstraction, look to the Horn of Africa for a sense of its reality on the ground."
"The countries of this region marked by rugged highlands, rift valleys, and arid coastal plains, have become troubling examples of
a new era of global politics,
where the strong dominate the weak,
the institutions set up to forge peace
are constantly failing,
and the transactional economic interests
of an array of outside powers
overshadow the plight of civilians."
"An internationally brokered peace in 2022 failed to hold, amid various turf wars, paving the way for fresh trauma."
“The Horn has become this dysfunctional part of the fractured politics of the Middle East,” Alex Rondos, a former European Union special representative for the region, told me, adding that the fighting in Ethiopia “means we have a fusion, a convergence into something wider and more dangerous.” Michelle Gavin, a former U.S. diplomat and National Security Council senior director for Africa during the Obama Administration, sees a series of fractious conflicts that seem to be coalescing into one.
(It is absolutely what is happening.)
“I start to sound like somebody with a lot of red string, but there are so many points of tension that have now become connected to other points of tension, that it feels like it would be very easy for escalation in one place to trigger escalation throughout the region,” Gavin said."
"Processes exist to prevent a conflagration, but they don’t seem to be working. In Sudan, various groupings of foreign powers—the “Quad” of the United States, U.A.E., Egypt, and Saudi Arabia, and the “Quintet” of five international bureaucracies, including the African Union and the E.U.—have been unable to stop a civil war that’s now in its fourth year, having displaced about a third of its population and left more than two-thirds of it in need of humanitarian relief. (A joint call from humanitarian organizations published Monday warned that aid shortfalls and continued fighting are putting this year’s harvest at risk in Sudan, an outcome that will likely worsen what’s already the world’s worst hunger crisis.) Some of the Middle Eastern countries still maintain interests that are driving the conflict, while other outside actors don’t seem able to muster the leverage to persuade warring parties to cease hostilities. The latter group includes the United States—the Trump Administration has gone through the motions of claiming that it wants to end the Sudanese conflict and has pursued rounds of talks, but analysts say that its engagement has been, at best, superficial and insufficient. The Biden Administration helped facilitate the end of the Tigray conflict in 2022, but its successor “has picked a side” in Ethiopia, Cameron Hudson, who served as director for African affairs in the National Security Council under President George W. Bush, wrote in Semafor, pointing to the prioritization of major commercial sales of U.S. aircraft to Ethiopia and the Trump Administration’s sanctioning of a number of Tigrayan officials earlier this year."
"The cynical deal-making of foreign powers and the proliferating violence it stokes are symptoms of the new geopolitics, Gavin, who is now at the Council on Foreign Relations, said. “This kind of ‘money talks’ approach, the utter failure of multilateral institutions to engage in the kind of preventive diplomacy that staves off conflict, the proxy warfare where you compete for influence by spilling African blood—it is an incredibly disheartening display of where we’re at.”
The collapse of
worldly systems/power structures
anybody?
See: Wednesday, March 12, 2025
The Fall of Babylon (Revelation 18)
Some might ask:
WHY?
are our multilateral systems
(UN, EU, African union, etc)
that were designed to try and prevent
this kind of thing from happening
failing right now?
Because what was holding evil back
has been removed.
2 Thessalonians 2:7
For the secret power of lawlessness is already at work;
but the one who now holds it back will continue to do so
till he is taken out of the way.
And when did that happen?
See also:
deepen regional instability - analysis
The Jerusalem post 10/03/26

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