I

 

Satellite images show dozens of Iranian missiles struck near Israeli air base

knew when they didn't talk about it 

for so long after it happened 

that it was worse 

than they were letting on to.

Its one of the reasons were there, 

to augment 

their multilayered air defense systems.

Wednesday, 

November 1, 2023

Read

“The fact that there’s another front directly to the south raises the risk that Israel (air defenses) can be overwhelmed and then it can be that much more worrying” if Hezbollah, Hamas and others launch massive missile barrages.

(That is another reason this is SO significant.

The JV team

(Iranians)

can and probably will

overwhelm and exhaust

Israeli air defenses.

And if they can do that?

They can get us to exhaust 

some of our carrier groups

missile defenses as well.

Right as were leading into 

China and Taiwan etc.)

Its kinda why I don't really worry 

or care about peoples 

scripture interpretations.

Shit like that right there.

Nowto the article.

"Researchers have used commercial satellite imagery to identify more than 30 points where Iranian missiles appear to have impacted an air base in southern Israel.

(Showing them they can hit them anywhere.)

"The imagery, taken by the company Planet the day after the strike, shows damaged hangars, buildings, taxiways, and a crater on one of the runways at Nevatim Airbase. Videos posted to social media showed multiple warheads striking the base during the Oct. 1 attack by Iran."

"A complex picture

But Jeffrey Lewis, a professor at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey who led the analysis, says his work "complicates the picture a lot."

"We see more than 30 craters and damaged buildings," Lewis says, "suggesting that more than 30 missiles hit the base."

"Based on preliminary calculations of what happened at Nevatim, Lewis believes a substantial number of Iranian missiles may have reached their targets."

"If Nevatim is representative, that would suggest that more than half got through," he says."

Pick and choose

There are several reasons why so many Iranian missiles may have penetrated Israel's air defenses. Israel's vaunted Iron Dome missile defense system can only intercept low-flying, short-range missiles of the type used by Hezbollah and Hamas. To intercept Iran's medium-range ballistic missiles requires Israel's more powerful and expensive Arrow 2 and Arrow 3 missile defense systems.

(Talked about that years back as well:

"Israel's vaunted Iron Dome missile defense system can only intercept low-flying, short-range missiles of the type used by Hezbollah and Hamas."

It is what it was designed to do.)

"It is possible that the Arrow system failed to perform as expected, Lewis says, but he thinks it's more likely that Israel may have decided not to defend Nevatim, in order to save its interceptors to protect population centers like Tel Aviv."

(This is the whole problem.

Iran has way more missiles

than Israel does interceptors.

Its gonna be Israel's air force 

against Iran's army 

and as stated before 

it will be a draw, 

and draw everybody else in

along the way.)

"It may be that they just don't have that many Arrow 2 and Arrow 3 missiles," Lewis says. 

(Thats what I would be going with, yup.)

"If that were true, then "the Iranians have succeeded in overwhelming the system and the Israelis have had to pick and choose."

(And its only going to get a lot worse.)

"That would be my guess," Lewis adds. "It did not look like they were trying to defend this base."

"Lewis notes that although over 30 missiles landed inside the base perimeter, the damage caused was still somewhat limited. That's notable because Iran is believed to have used some of its most advanced Fattah missiles."

"Even these missiles, which look substantially more accurate, still struggled to do damage," he says.

"Still, he thinks the attack has shown that Iran can strike at targets well inside Israel. "They can definitely get missiles through," he says."