Really?
Never Knew.
(Sarcasm BTW)
About a Potential War With China"
"The war began in the early morning hours with a massive bombardment — China’s version of “shock and awe.” Chinese planes and rockets swiftly destroyed most of Taiwan’s navy and air force as the People’s Liberation army and navy mounted a massive amphibious assault across the 100-mile Taiwan Strait. Having taken seriously President Joe Biden’s pledge to defend the island, Beijing also struck pre-emptively at U.S. and allied air bases and ships in the Indo-Pacific. The U.S. managed to even the odds for a time by deploying more sophisticated submarines as well as B-21 and B-2 stealth bombers to get inside China’s air defense zones, but Washington ran out of key munitions in a matter of days and saw its network access severed. The United States and its main ally, Japan, lost thousands of servicemembers, dozens of ships, and hundreds of aircraft. Taiwan’s economy was devastated. And as a protracted siege ensued, the U.S. was much slower to rebuild, taking years to replace ships as it reckoned with how shriveled its industrial base had become compared to China’s.
The Chinese “just ran rings around us,” said former Joint Chiefs Vice Chair Gen. John Hyten in one after-action report. “They knew exactly what we were going to do before we did it.”
(Those are comments made after a war-game simulation was done but it's pretty accurate, (My personal believe is it will be a blockade) so I wonder, how could that possibly be? Why was the information about casualty figures in Ukraine the only document in the Pentagon leaks that were altered again? Because Russia owns our government networks. I said on here that the Russians tipped of President Erdogan about the attempted coup attempt against him in July 2016. The Turkish intelligence service is that advanced? Come on now. There is a reason the Chinese will know what we are going to do before we do it and the picture below explains it in great detail.)
"In every exercise the U.S. uses up all its long-range air-to-surface missiles in a few days, with a substantial portion of its planes destroyed on the ground. In every exercise the U.S. is not engaged in an abstract push-button war from 30,000 feet up like the ones Americans have come to expect since the end of the Cold War, but a horrifically bloody one."
"And that’s assuming the U.S.-China war doesn’t go nuclear."
(I think you can pretty well throw that assumption out the window at this point.)
“The most common thread in these exercises is that the United States needs to take steps now in the Indo-Pacific to ensure the conflict doesn’t happen in the future. We are hugely behind the curve. Ukraine is our wakeup call. This is our watershed moment.” (Becca Wasser, who played the role of the Chinese leadership in the Select Committee’s wargame and is head of the gaming lab at the Center for a New American Security.)
(It's already to late. They just gonna let us play catch up for a few years? What would we do if the roles were reversed?...Exactly.)
"The problem has come into sharp relief only in the last few years as Russia invaded Ukraine, leading to a prolonged war that has drained U.S. munitions stockpiles, and China dramatically escalated both its military spending and aggressive rhetoric against Taiwan."
(Nobody nowhere can connect those dots? Not the author of this piece? Not the NYT? The Washington Post? (used to like you guys now y'all might as well be an arm of state propaganda at this point. Nobody at The Atlantic? The Los Angels Times? The New Republic? Nobody anywhere? Nobody at all the Brainiac think tanks etc.? Nobody is in possession of the mental acuity (WOD BTW) to connect those dots? PLEASE...spare me we used to say...It's literally beyond my comprehension that nobody connects those two dots...It's simple beyond preposterous and tells you exactly whats going on.)
"In the last year the U.S. has allocated nearly $50 billion in security aid to Kyiv, possibly cutting further into its deterrent against China. In other words, the failure to deter Vladimir Putin from invading Ukraine and the stress this has put on the U.S. defense industrial base should be sounding alarms for the U.S. military posture vis-a-vis Taiwan, many defense experts say. Yet critics on both sides of the aisle say the Biden administration has been slow to respond to what is minimally required to prevent an Indo-Pacific catastrophe, which is the need to rapidly build up a better deterrent — especially new stockpiles of munitions that would convince China it could be too costly to attack Taiwan."
(Okay so:
1) Newsflash: we are no longer in a position to deter anybody from anything. Were not or we would be doing so. We cant and out adversaries know it, that's why they are forging ahead with their plans.
2) "the stress this has put on the U.S. defense industrial base should be sounding alarms". Who else has been telling you that this was the plan all along? That they would simply bleed us dry" before things really get started? That it was a war of attrition from the get go?
Hum? Who? And why aren't you hearing about that in your news feed? Social media feed etc.?
3) Maybe? Just maybe? God doesn't look so fondly on those nations who would be warmongers/war profiteers? $50 billion in security guarantees to Ukraine? NP. Food? Education? Healthcare for your populace? Oh hell no, we cant afford that. But $50 billion to Ukraine? NP. Maybe, just maybe, God doesn't really like a nation like that?
Our adversaries have weapons that we not dont have?
But we dont have a defense for either.)
"But a swift response may not be possible, in large part because of how shrunken the U.S. manufacturing base has become since the Cold War. "
(Think our adversaries dont know that?
And have been planning this for years on end?)
All of a sudden, Washington is reckoning with the fact that so many parts and pieces of munitions, planes, and ships it needs are being manufactured overseas, including in China.
(Greed, flat out greed caused this.)
"Among the deficiencies: components of solid rocket motors, shell casings, machine tools, fuses and precursor elements to propellants and explosives, many of which are made in China and India."
(Brilliant idea, what could have ever gone wrong?
I'll just give youi the long and short of it:
WERE SCREWD
AND THE POWERS THAT BE KNOW IT
AND THATS WHY YOURE NOT HEARING ABOUT IT.)
"Beyond that, skilled labor is sorely lacking, and the learning curve is steep. The U.S. has slashed defense workers to a third of what they were in 1985 — a number that has remained flat — and seen some 17,000 companies leave the industry, said David Norquist, president of the National Defense Industrial Association. And commercial companies are leery of the Pentagon’s tangle of rules and restrictions."
(They left because they can complete with the big players. Remember when they told you deregulation would spur on competition? They knew it was all BS and this is what it got you. The "rules and restrictions" were put in place to preserve the status quo for the big six defense contractors would be my and a lot of others contention.)
“Unfortunately, the more you dig under the hood the more problems you see,” said a senior Democratic defense expert in the Senate who was granted anonymity because he was not allowed to speak on the record for his boss."
(The lack of available good options somebody keeps saying...tells you exactly where we are.)
"The most urgent task is to manufacture and move massive numbers of missiles and other high-tech munitions to East Asia to shore up the U.S. deterrent against China, says Rep. Mike Gallagher (R-Wis.), chair of the Select Committee. What is most needed: far more Joint Air-to-Surface Standoff Missiles (JASSMs), Long Range Anti-Ship Missiles (LRASMs), Harpoon anti-ship missiles, Tomahawk cruise missiles and other munitions, Gallagher said."
(We dont have enough time. China has said they are ready for a fight over Taiwan a while back.)
"Gallagher said the Pentagon should offer prime missile contractors such as Lockheed Martin a slew of new multi-year contracts."
(Thats our answer to everything right?
"contractors such as Lockheed Martin
a slew of new multi-year contracts"
It's always been such a good solution right?
It never got us in the predicament that it has, has it?
I mean come on...)
"The Pentagon declined to comment, but at a meeting of the Council on Foreign Relations on May 3, Under Secretary of Defense William LaPlante said the Biden administration and its allies in Europe and Asia were moving quickly to fill the gaps."
(I bet they did, "declined to comment.")
"Some U.S. intelligence and defense officials fear that Beijing understands the deficiency in American readiness all too well and could try to exploit it by attacking or blockading Taiwan in the next few years."
(More like any day now.
Why would they wait for us to try and get caught up?)
"In April, China’s military completed three days of large-scale combat exercises around Taiwan that rehearsed blockading the island and said in a statement it is “ready to fight … at any time to resolutely smash any form of ‘Taiwan independence’ and foreign interference attempts.”
(Sounds like it's tears away right?)
"So far, China’s actions seem to be speaking louder than such words. LaPlante Under Secretary of Defense William LaPlante conceded that fears Beijing is calculating it must act against Taiwan sooner than later are “a very valid concern. It is always a question that is on everybody’s mind.” In an interview, LaPlante said that sense of urgency is why Biden has invoked the emergency Defense Production Act, enacted during the Korean War, to rebuild and expand the nation’s domestic hypersonic missile industry. This is a key area of Chinese advancement, and U.S. officials fear that Beijing seeks to use hypersonics to push U.S. ships and bases out of close range in the Asia-Pacific region."
(I reiterate, we are no longer deterring anybody from anything. Our adversaries have the upper hand and they know it. To think it will be years before they exercise their advantage is simply foolishness.)
"Many critics say it’s not enough. “We’re in a window of maximum danger,” says Christian Brose, a former senior aide to the late Sen. John McCain, who for years was a lone voice in the wilderness warning against the Chinese and Russian buildup. “We could throw a trillion dollars a year at the defense budget now, and we’re not going to get a meaningful increase in traditional military capabilities in the next five years. They cannot be produced.”
"One of the reasons, again, is that China and other countries — not all of them friendly — make and supply a lot of that stuff now. Over decades of what many say was delusional thinking by both political parties about turning China into a friendly “stakeholder” in a peaceful international system, Washington heedlessly ceded shipbuilding, aircraft parts and circuit boards over to China and other cheap overseas labor forces.
(Yeah...love how they mention the greed of the defense contractors being a contributing factor there dont you?)
"China also totally dominates machine tools and rare earth metals, essentials for manufacturing missiles and munitions, as well as lithium used in batteries, cobalt and the aluminum and titanium used in semiconductors. While Beijing has made new advances in explosives, most American military explosives are made at a single aging Army plant in Tennessee, Forbes reported in March."
“While they were industrializing, we were deindustrializing,” says Brose. Today China commands some 45 percent to 50 percent of total shipbuilding globally, while the United States has less than one percent. “Given those numbers, explain to me how the United States is going to win a traditional shipbuilding race with China?”
“The bottom line is this whole problem was decades in the making,” added Brose. “It’s not something that just kind of crept up on us and surprised us over the last couple of years.”
(My dad (and others) were warning of this type of thing and where it would lead...decades ago...and now here we are.
)"Even Perry, who soon after became President Bill Clinton’s defense secretary, admitted years later that the unwinding of America’s Cold War defense apparatus went much too far. Before long the industry underwent what Paul Kaminski, former under secretary of defense for procurement, called “excessive vertical integration,” dwindling to one or two monopoly suppliers for everything from large-scale weapons systems to a whole array of crucial components such as processors and sensors used in flight controls."
(Greed...funny how nobody ever talks about "deregulation any more...Everything has already been deregulated...it NEVER leads to increased competition like we were told but instead always leads to monopolies (strong delusion anybody?) and now here we are.)
"Today the Pentagon suddenly finds itself scrambling to re-weaponize across the board — from submarines to aircraft to surface-to-air missiles — as Washington awakens to the reality of twin strategic threats from China and Russia. That may seem surprising at a time when the Pentagon still commands an $858 billion budget that exceeds the discretionary spending of every other federal agency put together, and which is almost twice as high as in the late ‘90s."
)
"But this is in part because of the 20-year-long “war on terror,” in which the invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan and the huge expenses of occupation, counterinsurgency and counterterrorism sucked up so much in resources and attention, with the Pentagon spending nearly $14 trillion in response to 9/11, according to the Costs of War project at Brown University. Added to this was the huge cost of caring for the post-9/11 war veterans. (As a percentage of GDP the 2023 budget was still just over 3 percent but this was largely due to the rapid growth of the economy.)
Hartung, who helped compile the Costs of War estimate, said such claims are “overblown” since the Defense Department had ample funds to spend on weapons modernization over the past decade as those wars wound down. The direct costs of war in Afghanistan and Iraq were probably less than a quarter of that $14 trillion, Hartung said. A bigger problem was inefficiency and waste: A lot of money continued to go to antiquated weapons systems that the Pentagon sought to retire but members of Congress wanted to maintain because they were produced in their districts or states. Hartung and other Pentagon critics say the five remaining major weapons contractors — Lockheed Martin, Boeing, General Dynamics, Raytheon, and Northrop Grumman — have also squandered billions on stock buybacks and bloated executive compensation."
(And that's what it has always been about in my lifetime:
"the five remaining major weapons contractors —
Lockheed Martin,
Boeing,
General Dynamics,
Raytheon,
and Northrop Grumman
— have also squandered billions on stock buybacks and bloated executive compensation."
Where was the church in calling out the war-mongering for war profiteering?
To busy taking on the easy targets of abortion and homosexuality if you ask me. It's all gonna get handled here in a bit...believe that.)
"Thus the Ukraine drain has only exacerbated what one defense analyst, Mackenzie Eaglen, has called the “terrible 20s,” the effect of congressional squabbling that delayed weapons modernization bills has left the military with “aged chassis, hulls, and airframes that cannot be upgraded with today’s technology and cannot generate the kind of power needed to survive any fight.” These include Eisenhower-era B-52s and Minuteman missiles that have exceeded their shelf life."
(But it wasn't planned?
"the Ukraine drain"?
It just kinda happened all on it's own?
No intent years in advance?
Please...)
“We haven’t fired munitions at this rate since World War II,” said the Senate defense expert who spoke on condition of anonymity. “And air defense was not something we had to worry about for 20 years in Iraq and Afghanistan, so we sort of took our eye off the ball.”
(And it's going to cost us...dearly...
Nobody could see that was the plan?
China's and Russia's?)
"The main goal against China, experts say, should be not to fight a war but to deter Beijing from starting one."
(We aren't in a position to "deter" anybody from anything.
It's pretty obvious at this point.)
"Russia seems hopelessly bogged down in Ukraine."
(Seems is the optimum word there. If you wanted to bleed your adversary dry? Why would you want things to come to a quick end? "The longer it goes on, the more it benefits them.)
“If you knew that we had to defend Taiwan in three years, then we’re already two years too late,” says Heather Penney, a former Air National Guard pilot and senior fellow at the Mitchell Institute for Aerospace Studies. “It takes two years to budget for these platforms, a year to set up supply, a third year to put all that together, and it takes roughly five years to produce an experienced combat pilot.”
(Oh yeah, so those fighter aircraft are really gonna help out Ukraine then, if we send them etc.)
“The most important thing to remember is that China is fighting a home game in that region where the U.S. is fighting an away game, so we have to bring much more mass to bear,” says Wasser. “Attrition is baked into Chinese assumptions.”
(They will just build more ships than we can, see above about their ship building capacity compared to ours.)
“We lack that today,” says Penney. “Unlike World War II, America no longer has the skilled manufacturing base to spin up and support wartime production.”
“The most obvious concern is we don’t have any long-range munitions deployed west of the international dateline,”
(So China is just going to wait years for us to manufacture them and place them there?)
“We are in an era when we have the prospect of direct war between nuclear powers close to their home territories. This is mainly what is driving tensions,” says Jones.
(Seth Jones, a former Obama-era defense official who compiled a report on one of the wargames conducted at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.)
There is only one way out:
Accept him today.
Romans 10:9
that if you confess with your mouth, “Jesus is Lord,” and believe in your heart that God raised Him from the dead, you will be saved.
It's your only option.
it really is.
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