Wednesday, November 30, 2022

DR Kissinger's article

   

from a while back...


How the Enlightenment Ends


"Philosophically, intellectually—in every way—human society is unprepared for the rise of artificial intelligence.

By Henry A. Kissinger

June 2018

"The speaker insisted that this ability could not be preprogrammed. His machine, he said, learned to master Go by training itself through practice. Given Go’s basic rules, the computer played innumerable games against itself, learning from its mistakes and refining its algorithms accordingly. In the process, it exceeded the skills of its human mentors. And indeed, in the months following the speech, an AI program named AlphaGo would decisively defeat the world’s greatest Go players.


"What would be the impact on history of self-learning machines—machines that acquired knowledge by processes particular to themselves, and applied that knowledge to ends for which there may be no category of human understanding? Would these machines learn to communicate with one another? How would choices be made among emerging options? Was it possible that human history might go the way of the Incas, faced with a Spanish culture incomprehensible and even awe-inspiring to them? Were we at the edge of a new phase of human history?


(Would these machines learn to communicate with each other? You can count on it. Hive mind.)


"Aware of my lack of technical competence in this field, I organized a number of informal dialogues on the subject, with the advice and cooperation of acquaintances in technology and the humanities. These discussions have caused my concerns to grow."

(That was four years ago, I can assure you they are still growing.)


"But that order is now in upheaval amid a new, even more sweeping technological revolution whose consequences we have failed to fully reckon with, and whose culmination may be a world relying on machines powered by data and algorithms and ungoverned by ethical or philosophical norms."

"...whose culmination may be a world relying on machines powered by data and algorithms and ungoverned by ethical or philosophical norms..." Count on it.


"They rarely interrogate history or philosophy; as a rule, they demand information relevant to their immediate practical needs...Truth becomes relative. Information threatens to overwhelm wisdom.

( Not over here it doesn't.)


'Inundated via social media with the opinions of multitudes, users are diverted from introspection; in truth many technophiles use the internet to avoid the solitude they dread. All of these pressures weaken the fortitude required to develop and sustain convictions that can be implemented only by traveling a lonely road, which is the essence of creativity.


(Psalm 46:10

10 He says, “Be still, and know that I am God;

    I will be exalted among the nations,

    I will be exalted in the earth.”

Try it for 5 minutes, then 10, then an hour, then a day etc...As in dont do anything but be alone with your thoughts.)


"The digital world’s emphasis on speed inhibits reflection; its incentive empowers the radical over the thoughtful; its values are shaped by subgroup consensus, not by introspection."


"Perhaps most significant is the project of producing artificial intelligence—a technology capable of inventing and solving complex, seemingly abstract problems by processes that seem to replicate those of the human mind."


(Us having our intellect is part of our being formed in the image of our creator...We are not the creator, we do not get to reinvent/surpass the human mind. Period)


"To the extent that its achievements are in part shaped by itself, AI is inherently unstable.'


"AI systems, through their very operations, are in constant flux as they acquire and instantly analyze new data, then seek to improve themselves on the basis of that analysis. Through this process, artificial intelligence develops an ability previously thought to be reserved for human beings."

(Hello return of the Nephilim. Kinda gives new meaning to: "As it was in the days of Noah..." Matthew 24:37.)


"We must expect AI to make mistakes faster—and of greater magnitude—than humans do."

(Yup...)


"There are three areas of special concern:

First, that AI may achieve unintended results."

(It will do what you said you wanted but it will miss completely your intentions, it can not have any "intuition" whatsoever.)


"If AI learns exponentially faster than humans, we must expect it to accelerate, also exponentially, the trial-and-error process by which human decisions are generally made: to make mistakes faster and of greater magnitude than humans do."

(Amen! Preach...I can not believe I am agreeing with Henry Kissinger BTW)


"In certain fields—pattern recognition, big-data analysis, gaming—AI’s capacities already may exceed those of humans."

(Like I said, hello return of the nephelium, God is just not gonna stand for it: "capacities already may exceed those of humans." )


"What will become of human consciousness if its own explanatory power is surpassed by AI, and societies are no longer able to interpret the world they inhabit in terms that are meaningful to them?"

(God is not gonna allow for our consciousness to be exceeded. It was his gift to us, we dont get to design machines with greater explanatory power than our minds. Not for long we dont anyway.)


"Who is responsible for the actions of AI? How should liability be determined for their mistakes? Can a legal system designed by humans keep pace with activities produced by an AI capable of outthinking and potentially outmaneuvering them?"

(Exactly)


"AI is likely to win any game assigned to it. But for our purposes as humans, the games are not only about winning; they are about thinking. By treating a mathematical process as if it were a thought process, and either trying to mimic that process ourselves or merely accepting the results, we are in danger of losing the capacity that has been the essence of human cognition."

("...we are in danger of losing the capacity that has been the essence of human cognition." Again, not for long we won't.)


"The implications of this evolution are shown by a recently designed program, AlphaZero, which plays chess at a level superior to chess masters and in a style not previously seen in chess history. On its own, in just a few hours of self-play, it achieved a level of skill that took human beings 1,500 years to attain. Only the basic rules of the game were provided to AlphaZero. Neither human beings nor human-generated data were part of its process of self-learning. If AlphaZero was able to achieve this mastery so rapidly, where will AI be in five years? 

("where will AI be in five years?...Article was written four years ago.)


"The Enlightenment started with essentially philosophical insights spread by a new technology. Our period is moving in the opposite direction. It has generated a potentially dominating technology in search of a guiding philosophy. 

("Our period is moving in the opposite direction..." It ought to tell you something abouit the direction were headed..."a potentially dominating technology in search of a guiding philosophy" You can rest assured, it will find one and it wont be pleasant when it does.)


The U.S. government should consider a presidential commission of eminent thinkers to help develop a national vision. This much is certain: If we do not start this effort soon, before long we shall discover that we started too late."

(It's four years after this article was written, unfortunately?Were not even gonna start on Dr Kissengers recommendations, let alone "start to late.'


Godspeed everybody.

Journey well my friends.














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