Friday, September 20, 2019

So?



Hows that "maximum pressure" campaign on Iran working out for you these days?









This look like the work of people who are ready to come negotiate Donald?

I got news for you.
They're never gonna come negotiate with you.
As far as they are concerned? 
They've been at war since you unilaterally pulled us out of
the Iran nuclear deal.

Oh this doesn't complicate anything now does it?


"this confrontation has major implications for the growing U.S. – China strategic rivalry."

"Given Iran’s precarious geopolitical and geo-economic position, it has little choice but to forge a closer relationship with China, despite the country’s reputation as a predatory lender. Russia, too, is a major Iranian partner, weapons and nuclear, rocket, and military technology supplier."

"This presents an extremely favorable situation for the Chinese, as Beijing earns yuan from its projects across Africa and Central Asia – and therefore does not need to make oil trades in USD, diminishing the bite of sanctions. In return, Tehran gains an additional ally on the UN Security Council, and an economic lifeline with a secure oil and petrochemicals market."

(The beginning of the end for the petrodollar?)

"Overall, this may not prove a financially sound endeavor by Beijing, as Chinese companies will come under U.S. sanctions – but it may end up as a shrewd geostrategic play by both parties. Profitability certainly hasn’t been China’s main motivation in many previous investment schemes, nor is it Iran’s. This case is no different. It is a geopolitical anti-American axis. China’s game here is clear: first, increase tensions between the U.S. and Iran by weakening the impact of American sanctions and increase their soft power leverage in the energy-dense Middle East. Then integrate Iran into the Belt-and-Road initiative and into the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, of which Tehran is an observer member.

"According to the Middle East Monitor, the agreement also confers “the right to delay the payment of these prices for two years in the Chinese national currency (Yuan).”

It all sounds so great right?
One fucking dipshit pushed Iran further to the Chinese.




This guys wants to nuke hurricanes?
Canceled a state dinner with Denmark because it's not going to sell Greenland?
Wanted to host the Taliban at Camp David?
The week of the 911 anniversary?
This guy is simply not stable yo.
And yet next fall?
Millions are gonna vote for this idiot.
Do you really have to wonder why the Russians wanted to get him elected?

The British ambassador?
That was recently recalled?
Kim Darroch?


He said the only reason he could think of for the US withdrawing from  the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action?
Was the fact that it was negotiated under the Obama administration.
Because there was absolutely no plan going forward after the withdraw.
None.

So?
This what you get.




Saudi Arabia couldn't land a decisive blow in Yemen?
They gonna take on Iran now?
Good luck with that.

Oh?
We'll put a coalition together to help?
The house of Saud?
Oh okay, sure.


"The United States and Saudi Arabia lack virtually any allies as they consider how to respond to this weekend's attacks on Saudi oil refineries, raising doubts about whether the Trump administration could build any coalition for military action in the region."

"President Donald Trump has alienated key allies by unilaterally pulling out of the 2015 nuclear deal with Iran and re-imposing sanctions. It has already been unable to enlist allies to protect shipping in the region from Iranian attacks."

In a normal administration, we should be able to get 40 or 50 countries on board for something like this but we can’t because nobody trusts the Trump administration and everybody thinks they’re going to take them into war," said Ilan Goldenberg, a former Obama administration national security official who worked on Iran policy at the Pentagon, referring to the maritime security initiative — which he called "pathetic.”

There is no offensive coalition against Iran, not there or anywhere else in the world right now,” added Michael Knights of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, who studies Iranian military activity in the Middle East.

International allies don’t know what Trump’s going to do,” said Kelly Magsamen, a former Obama administration Pentagon official at the Center for American Progress. "They look at him and think one minute he’s trying to get us into some sort of maritime coalition, and the next he’s tweeting that he wants to meet [Iranian President Hassan] Rouhani.”

They’re not going to sign up for politically or militarily challenging endeavors without a better understanding of what U.S. strategy is” on Iran, she added.

(There is no strategy. Why is this so hard for people to figure out?)

"Spooking traditional allies like Germany and France has left the administration “with very few cards to play at this point,” said Magsamen.

"The administration’s habit of making major foreign policy pronouncements over Twitter or in other impromptu formats has also hurt allies’ willingness to work jointly with the U.S. on matters as weighty as potential military action, Goldenberg said.

“Then they do things like release the intel on Twitter before talking to any allies about it,” he said. “That’s not what you do. You take it to your friends and convince them, and then you go out together and make the case.”

I'd be damned, if I ever let my son die fighting for the house of Saud.
You should be too.

That post WWII geopolitic?
In shambles.
Global cataclysm coming soon yall.








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