Tuesday, April 16, 2024

Well?

 Iran’s Attack Seems Like It Was Designed to Fail. 

So What Comes Next?


"...and the question was 

how we should maneuver them 

(The Japanese) 

into the position of firing the first shot 

with-out allowing too much danger to ourselves."


From Henry Stimson's Diary

(FDR War Secretary.


It just seems like the Iranians are doing.

Not the first shot.

But the real "game changing one" that is yet to come.


"Tehran’s first-ever attack on Israel was designed to be shot down."

(Might wanna think about why that was)

"But Netanyahu could still turn it into a real war."

(He most certainly will.)


"Iran’s attack on Israel was dangerous, provocative — and seemingly all but designed to fail. None of the hundreds of projectiles launched at Israel hit a major target.

So, what was the point?"

(See above)


"The latest crisis to erupt in the region 

left many longtime analysts wondering 

what Iran’s real intention was — 

whether the direct attack was mainly a face-saving exercise or a genuine effort to escalate — and whether the United States can still manage to prevent what it’s been trying to avoid for more than six months, a full-scale regional war."


(Everybody has long forgotten:

"...the question was 

how we should maneuver them 

into the position of firing the first shot 

with-out allowing too much danger to ourselves")


"Israel and Iran have been involved in a gradual, tit-for-tat escalation since Oct. 7. On April 1, the tensions worsened dramatically when Israel — retaliating for attacks on Israeli citizens allegedly orchestrated by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps along the Syrian border — destroyed an Iranian consulate building in Damascus, killing Brigadier General Mohammad Reza Zahedi, a senior IRGC commander, and seven other IRGC officers."


"...And the Iranian response on Saturday — a direct hit on Israel launched from Iran — marked a dramatic and very dangerous departure for Tehran, which until now has preferred to operate mainly through proxies in Lebanon, Syria and elsewhere around the region."

(Everybody that thinks this "deescalates" raise your hands.

Yeah...exactly.)


There is a greater willingness to run risks by Iran than ever before,” said Behnam Ben Taleblu, a senior fellow at the right-leaning Foundation for Defense of Democracies and an expert in Iran’s missile capabilities. “Until now, Iran had never directly targeted Israel from Iranian territory in an overt and attributable fashion,” said Taleblu. “The strike also was the first ballistic missile attack from Iranian territory against a defended target.”

(Again, might wanna ask yourself why that is.)


“Iran wanted to break the taboo of targeting Israeli territory,” he said."


"Until now Tehran has signaled that it doesn’t want an all-out war, having restrained its Hezbollah ally in Israel’s north from launching more than sporadic token attacks. But “Iran’s government appears to have concluded that the Damascus strike was a strategic inflection point, where failure to retaliate would carry more downsides than benefits,” said Ali Vaez of the International Crisis Group."


"At the same time, Vaez added, Tehran’s choice of weaponry was cautious. “They could have used a much higher number of projectiles, synchronized drones and missiles in a way that would have swarmed the air defense systems, and could have fired their new hypersonic missiles,” he said. “They clearly wanted something spectacular but not fatal.”


(That what's next:

"a much higher number of projectiles, 

synchronized drones and missiles 

in a way that would have swarmed 

the air defense systems, 

and ...

fired their new hypersonic missiles"

after the Israeli response.


Another article I read said 

that's what the Iranians were trying to do

with this attack:

"swarm the air defense systems".


I was like, you poor soul

if you only knew what lays on the horizon.)


“The matter can be deemed concluded,” Iran’s mission to the United Nations said in a post on social media platform X hours after the start of the operation late Saturday. “However, should the Israeli regime make another mistake, Iran’s response will be considerably more severe.”


(See above about what's coming 

after the Israeli response.)


“Does Khamenei want to escalate against Israel? Yes. Does he want to escalate against the U.S.? No,” said Gerecht. “Unfortunately for the clerical regime, Israel is going to respond directly against it. They have to. The only open question is the magnitude. We are in an escalatory spiral that likely favors Israel more than Tehran in great part because the White House chose not to sit this out and now will be unable to change its commitment to Jerusalem.”


"Even so, Biden reportedly told Netanyahu during a call on Sunday that he won’t support an Israeli counterattack against Iran."


(Luke 21:20

And when ye shall see Jerusalem compassed

(surrounded)

 with armies, 

then know 

that the desolation thereof 

is nigh.

(Close)


How can you not see this coming?

There are no allies with her.

Not one.

Not this time.)


And this is your desolation spoken of:


Daniel 9:27

And he will confirm a covenant with many for one week, but in the middle of the week he will put an end to sacrifice and offering. 

And on the wing of the temple 

will come the abomination that causes desolation, 

until the decreed destruction is poured out upon him."


Temple = Septuagint and Theodotion; 

Hebrew "wing"

So much for needing the entire thing rebuilt.

The antichrist could set himself up

and proclaim himself God 

on the western wall alone.)


 "...Israel’s hard-line government is all but certain to continue its habit of defying Washington and strike back at Iran directly.

Netanyahu is “a leader who simply would not want to be remembered for not having responded to a direct attack from Iran,” said Hussein Banai, co-author of Republics of Myth: National Narratives and the US-Iran Conflict."



Meanwhile the majority of the Israeli Defense Forces are bogged down in Gaza.

A very small narrow piece of land.




and regardless of what you read?

The experts know
Iran,
Hezbollah, 
and the Houthis 
all together
can overwhelm 
the Israeli Air Defenses.

Everyday it seems more and more likely
that the Hamas attack
(while initially catching the Iranians off guard)
was but the opening salvo of a coordinated plan 
that is now just starting to be played out.

It just seems more and more like a trap
to get the IDF in a confined space 
that they can not get out of 
easily or quickly.




God help us all.

Godspeed everybody.


Text w my son  from this AM


I've read plenty and that's a great article on the subject BTW. 
Here's a few things worth considering regarding what we discussed yesterday:

Just because Egypt warned Israel three days in advance doesn't mean there wasn't a colossal intelligence failure before that. US and the Israelis should have known previous to Egypt's warning.

If the ayatollahs and the mullahs think their government is going to be overthrown anyway? That INCREASES the likelihood for Iran to act now. "Hey if I'm going to go down? I'm taking my bitter enemy with me" kinda thinking.

Why was the Iranian attack so telegraphed ahead of time? Us and the Israelis knew it was coming. ↓
Why was it so small compared to what it could have been?

Why did they use their second rate stuff and not their best?

Why did Iran say it's over so quick?

"They (Iran) always say they are gonna do something and they never do."

Till the day comes and they do. 
They knew hitting inside Israel was a red line and they really didn't seem to mind crossing it, so why do so now?

Something you're not being told is the attack didn't just come from Iran but also from Iraq and Yemen as well.

Israel is as vulnerable as they have ever been in my lifetime. That their armed forces being bogged down in a small strip of land in Gaza seems like a small piece of the puzzle. They (IDF) have only destroyed 30% of the Hamas tunnel network.











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