a matter of time.
It really is.
And its closer than you think.
Me and honey talking about 3I/ATLAS
back in July:
"How are they gonna hide it
when it gets so close?"
(And we were speaking of it hitting us
which now it doesn't look like its going to do.)
And she said:
"The internet will go down."
And she didn't mean
a lil localized outage
for just a lil while.
She meant globally
and for a while
if not for good.
Why We Are Running Out of Time
Universe today 12/15/25
This should have been included in yesterdays trilogy starting with Avi's "scientific paper" and ending with John the Baptist
Paths of Starlink satellites as of Feb 2024.
Credit - NASA Scientific Visualization Studio.
(And that is just Starlink.)
"A “House of Cards” is a wonderful English phrase that it seems is now primarily associated with a Netflix political drama. However, its original meaning is of a system that is fundamentally unstable. It’s also the term Sarah Thiele, originally a PhD student at the University of British Columbia, and now at Princeton, and her co-authors used to describe our current satellite mega-constellation system in a new paper available in pre-print on arXiv.
(That is 100% spot on.
To think this wont all come crashing down
in the very near future
is to not be living in the reality we face.)
"They have plenty of justification for using that term. Calculations show that, across all Low-Earth Orbit mega-constellations, a “close approach”, defined as two satellites passing by each at less than 1km separation, occurs every 22 seconds. For Starlink alone, that number is once every 11 minutes. Another known metric of Starlink is that, on average, each of the thousands of satellites have to perform 41 maneuvers per year to avoid running into other objects in their orbit."
(So almost once a week, Starlink satellites alone
have to perform maneuvers
to avoid other satellites.)
'That might sound like an efficiently engineered system operating the way it should, but as any engineer will tell you, “edge cases” - the things that don’t happen in a typical environment, are the cause of most system failures. According to the paper, solar storms are one potential edge case for satellite mega-constellations. Typically, solar storms affect satellite operation in two ways."
(Interesting to me the timing of this paper
and this article about it.
Given:
Saturday, December 6, 2025
really not good...
Giant sunspot on par with the one that birthed
the Carrington Event has appeared on the sun —
and it's pointed right at Earth
Livescience 12/05/25
"A gigantic cluster of sunspots — collectively around the same size as the one that birthed the largest solar storm in recorded history — has just emerged on the sun's Earth-facing side, and is now pointed directly at our planet. But don't panic!"
If it does blow and unleashes a CME, then the resulting solar storm "will be geoeffective," they added."
"If an equally powerful blast impacted Earth today, the radiation would knock out every satellite in orbit around our planet, recent simulations revealed."
"But if it happens to rotate past Earth without any outbursts, the hefty dark spots are likely large enough to survive more than one trip around the sun, meaning they could be back for "round two" sometime closer to Christmas.")
"Fraser discusses current methods to avoid satellites crashing into each other.
"First, they heat up the atmosphere causing increased drag, as well as positional uncertainty for some of the satellites. Increasing their drag causes them to use more fuel to maintain their orbit, but also to initiate evasive maneuvers if their path might cross that of another satellite. During the “Gannon Storm” of May 2024...over half of all satellites in LEO has to use up at least some of their fuel on these repositioning maneuvers."
"Second, and perhaps more devastatingly,
solar storms can take out
the navigational and communications systems
of satellites themselves.
This would make them unable to maneuver out of harm's way, and, combined with the increased drag and uncertainty caused by the heated atmosphere, could least to an immediate catastrophe."
(You don't need an asteroid.
A solar storm will do it itself.
I have woke up each of the last two mornings
and one of the first thing I do
is look at the NOAA website
to see what is going on with the sun,
where this group of sunspots is
641 km per second this Am.
1.4 million miles an hour.
Keep that in mind as were gonna talk about it
again here in another post in a lil bit.)
"Kessler syndrome is the most famous embodiment of this catastrophe, where a debris cloud around Earth makes it impossible for humans to launch anything into orbit (or beyond) without it being destroyed."
(BIAS ALERT:
That statement is extremely misleading.
The Kessler syndrome, also known as the Kessler effect, collisional cascading, or ablation cascade, is a scenario proposed by NASA scientists Donald J. Kessler and Burton G. Cour-Palais in 1978. It describes a situation in which the density of objects in low Earth orbit (LEO) becomes so high due to space pollution that collisions between these objects cascade, exponentially increasing the amount of space debris over time.[3]
So It's not just about the not being able to get anything into space, it's about having so many satellites in space whereby one collision, sparks a chain reaction and takes out most, if not all of them. Joe six pack just doesn't have a clue about how much modern life is dependent on satellite communication.
THIS ARTICLE
doesn't focus enough on
THE CASCADING CHAIN REACTION EVENT
that would ensue.)
"But Kessler syndrome takes decades to fully develop."
(The part the authors chose to talk about that is.
A strong enough solar storm
could set off a chain reaction in an instant.)
"To showcase the immediacy of the problem these solar storms can cause, the authors came up with a new metric - the Collision Realization and Significant Harm (CRASH) Clock."
"According to their calculations, as of June 2025, if satellite operators were to lose their ability to send commands for avoidance maneuvers, there would be a catastrophic collision in around 2.8 days. Compare that to the 121 days that they calculated would have been the case in 2018, before the megaconstellation era, and you can see why they are concerned. Perhaps even more disturbingly, if operators lose control for even just 24 hours, there’s a 30% chance of a catastrophic collision that could act as the seed case for the decades-long process of Kessler syndrome."
(And again, they have biased their definition of the Kessler syndrome to only be about now being able to get anything into orbit anymore as opposed to the more widely accepted definition that is about a cascading chain reaction of satellites impacting one another.
If a cascading chain reaction of satellites impacting one another were to happen? Putting something in orbit is gonna be pretty low on your priority list.
Giant sunspot on par with the one that birthed
has appeared on the sun — and it's pointed right at Earth
Livescience 12/05/25
"A geomagnetic storm of this magnitude occurring today has the potential to cause widespread electrical disruptions, blackouts, and damage to the electrical power grid."
Within 24 hours you wont be able to maneuver them out of each others way.
Revelation 18:10
Standing afar off for the fear of her torment, saying, Alas, alas that great city Babylon, that mighty city! for in one hour is thy judgment come.)
"Unfortunately, solar storms don’t come with much warning - maybe only a day or two at most. And even when they do, we can’t necessarily do anything about them other than trying to safeguard the satellites they could effect. But the dynamic environment they introduce into the atmosphere necessitates real-time feedback and control to effectively manage those satellites. If that real-time control goes down, according to the paper, we only have a few days to get it back up before the entire house of cards comes crumbling down."
(You should be counting on that happening
at this point, hence the title of this post:
"It's just a matter of time."
Our calendar:
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