Monday, January 22, 2024

Oh

 

it just keeps getting better.


$2 Million Missile To Shoot Down $2,000 Drone! 

Houthis’ Asymmetric War Has UK, US Navies In A Bind


Read hat headline again.

That sound like a good strategy to you?

The lack of good options tells you exactly where we are headed...


Matthew 24:21

For at that time there will be great tribulation, 

(We havent even started the tribulation yet technically,

let alone the second half of the tribulation period

"The great tribulation."

unmatched from the beginning of the world until now, 

and never to be seen again. 

(It's a one time event.

There isn't always a remnant

and the universe 

doesn't consist of 

"eternal cycles".

It had a beginning and it will have an end.)


"The escalating tensions in the Red Sea between Yemen’s Houthi group and British and American warships marks another case of asymmetric warfare, where more considerable military powers have to expend more significant cost and material expenses in engaging smaller ones."

So with China on the horizon in the Pacific?

Why keep playing into their hands?

kinda becomes my question.

It couldnt be cause the defense contractors 

wanna keep making more million dollar/two million dollar missiles now could it?

Don't kid yourselves.

You already know the answer.)


"This has been brought about by the rising shootdowns of cheap Houthi drones and cruise missiles by multimillion-dollar air defense systems.

The Indian Navy, too, has deployed its warships to deter attacks on India-flagged and operated merchant vessels while maintaining a strategic distance and not being a part of the US-led Operation Prosperity Guardian."


"However, the weapons used to shoot down the Houthi missiles and drones show a different side of the story. Each Sea Viper/Aster missile costs about US$1 million to US$2 million."


(Were being bled dry before things ever even get started.

Artillery and land based munitions in Ukraine, not just the US but all of NATO 

and now ship air defense/interceptor missiles in the red sea.

Been saying it for years.)


"But the Houthis’ one-way attack drones cost less than US$20,000-US$50,000 (up to Rs. 40 lakh), frequently cited as the price for an Iranian Shaheed 136 drone and its variants. Some Houthi drones have been assessed to be as cheap as $2,000." 

"Likewise, the RIM-162 Evolved Sea Sparrow (ESSM) air defense missile aboard most US warships costs US$1.79 million."

"Meanwhile, a single F/A-18 Super Hornet costs US$66.9 million. The heavily lopsided cost-to-benefit ratio has not gone unnoticed among military and strategic affairs experts."


"Expert Speak

Retired Indian Navy officer Commodore Venugopal Vengalil said “non-state actors” will employ “asymmetric” warfare and technology to “challenge technologically superior and well-organized” militaries."

“However harder the conventional militaries try, the non-state actors will still penetrate their air defense. Moreover, personnel “fatigue also sets in on ships during prolonged patrols. There would be 23 hours 59 minutes of inaction, but the preparedness to counteraction during that critical one minute counts, notwithstanding the superior air defense system.” 

"In a previous analysis of Ukraine’s unmanned sea kamikaze drone attacks in the Black Sea, 

(They had those there before the war?

Interesting. I wonder how?

We are on record as having said we had special ops in Ukraine before the war started. t gives credence to Putin saying he had no choice but to initiate hostilities. I dont care how mad it makes you, its the truth!)

"a EurAsian Times report noted how Kyiv’s military planners will conduct strikes in unpredictable patterns of timing and frequency to force watch and gunnery crews on edge and hair-trigger alert. This makes room for mistakes and missing targets, with which one odd strike does get through." 


"Vengalil suggests that the Houthi’s advantages of being the ‘home defenders’ fighting from their home turf and suitable local geography take precedence over the strengths enjoyed by the Royal and US Navies.

“Houthis can choose the time and place of the attack and conduct it in narrow waterways like the Red Sea by staging attacks on ships from nearby coasts. It would not be effective in open seas like the Arabian Sea or the Bay of Bengal,” Vengalil added."

(Keep this in mind as well.

Iran can disrupt oil tankers in the strait of Hormuz as well.

Between that?

This Red Sea/Houthi shit,

and the panama canal drying up?

Three of the five largest choke points in world shipping 

could be under siege shortly

be it militarily or enviromentaly.

Infaltion?

Yeah its over.

Get a clue people.)


   "Geopolitical Fallout

Vengalil, however, brought attention to the Houthi’s possible strategic and diplomatic calculations. He said while the group is positioned to affect global shipping and energy security, they would also tread carefully, indicating it has more political objectives than a military intent behind the attacks.

“Houthis would be extremely cautious not to target any warship on escort duties as the repercussions would be disastrous for them, inviting the wrath of a big power directly against them. However, accidents can take place though chances are remote,” he explained. 

Other countries, too, are carefully placing themselves in the evolving diplomatic scene. Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which fought the Houthis in the nine-year Yemen civil war, might privately prefer some action against the Iran-affiliated Houthis but do not support a full-scale offensive chiefly for two reasons." 

"First, it will reverse the China-brokered Saudi normalization with Iran, followed by extensive coordination of their positions and unprecedented diplomacy between the Arabs and the Persians." 

It conveys that the desire for de-escalation in Riyadh and Tehran was genuine. It reflected in Saudi Arabia and the UAE not naming Iran directly during the periodic missile and drone attacks by the Houthis.

But it also bared that the Houthis commanded considerable autonomy from Iran. Its subsequent clashes with Saudi Arabia and UAE were independent actions and not under the complete tutelage of the Persian nation."    

(There is no diplomacy with this bunch.

None.

Zero.

Ever.)

"Secondly, the Saudis and the Emiratis are also wary of angering both their domestic and regional Arab populations – across the Arabian Peninsula, the Levant, and Saharan North Africa – that are sharply opposed to Israel and deeply supportive of Palestine."  

"After Hamas and Hezbollah, the Houthis have now won extensive popular support for their acts of solidarity with Gaza. Thus, backing any US and Western action against the Houthis in support of Israel will therefore unleash severe discontent and political backlash and impact their diplomacy with other Arab nations."

(Its kinda what they are hoping for:

"severe discontent and political backlash and impact their diplomacy with other Arab nations").


"Asymmetric Warfare In Ukraine

Interestingly, this situation has also been playing out in Europe, where Ukraine and Russia command this asymmetric advantage in different theaters of the war.

In the Black Sea, Ukraine’s kamikaze drone boats have been attacking Russian warships with only sporadic success, but necessitates the need to engage larger capital weapons like Su-30SM, Su-24 strike jets, and Ka-25 naval helicopters to destroy them. 

"Russia meanwhile manages to expend Ukraine’s costly Western-origin surface-to-air missiles (SAM) like the Patriot PAC-3, Norwegian Advanced Surface-to-Air Missile (NASAMS), or the German IRIS-T with its periodic missile and Geran-2 suicide UAV barrages."

Since the weapons are not manufactured in Ukraine and have come from the US and European militaries’ armories, each successful shoot is even more painful and redundant."


(Just in time inventories were never intended for warfare. 

Our adversaries knew it and are exploiting it very effectively.

I reiterate, 

we are being bled dry 

before things even get going.

Nobody in Washington knows?

Nobody can figure it out by now?

Or nobody cares?

Cause there's $ to be made?

Best guess 

with the logical/rational brain 

God gave you?  


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