Opinion | JD Vance Said the Iran Strikes
Set Their Nuclear Program Back ‘Substantially.’ He’s Wrong.
Politico 06/23/25
The strikes probably only delayed Iran’s nuclear ambitions
— and reinvigorated them.
And no I had not read it before publishing:
Thursday, June 26, 2025
Here we go again (US Attack on Iranian nuclear facilities)
(Henry Stinson,
FDR Secretary of War in his diary:
"The question was,
we should maneuver them
(The Japanese)
into the position of firing the first shot,
without allowing
to much danger to ourselves.")
James M. Acton holds the Jessica T. Mathews Chair
and is co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program
at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
"...statements from Vance and Trump
are far too confident."
(These statements are meant to put you at ease.
They are simply not based on reality.
Even if the sites targeted were
"obliterated.")
"In reality,
Iran can likely reconstitute its program rapidly
— perhaps in a year or so."
(Entirely way to overly optimistic.
They have hidden enrichment facilities
and highly enriched Uranium.
It will be much sooner than a year.)
"What’s more, after the U.S. strikes,
there is also now a real danger that Tehran
will make the decision to go further
than enriching and amassing uranium
and actually build a bomb."
(As stated previously and fairly often stated:
I would count on them
already having them
just not the delivery mechanism.
"Why do you keep saying that
when nobody else is Andrew?"
Because ever since they started their nuclear program?
The one thing that has always remained consistent is
they have always been
WAY
farther along
than the IAEA
or their adversaries
(US included)
ever thought they were.
Always.
So one day out of the blue
that pattern just stops?
With hidden enrichment facilities?
With Advanced Centrifudges?
And Hidden Urainium?
Enriched to 60%?
Are you nuts?
I dont think so.
In fact?
I know not so.
"12 day war" ass.
This is the same people
who said Israel wouldn't attack,
then said we wouldn't attack,
and never bothered to tell you
it is all
one big war
in the middle east
with different fronts,
not multiple overlapping wars.
That didnt tell you
this what the intent since Gaza all along?
The people
that have fostered
those narratives
on the masses
are now insisting
on this having been:
"A twelve day war"
Dont buy it for a second.
Multiple Governments
know what's up,
they know exactly what this is
and how it ends.
Satan just don't want
you to know it.)
"Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Gen. Dan Caine, stated that all three sites targeted by the United States, including Iran’s underground enrichment facility at Fordow, appeared to have sustained “extremely severe damage and destruction,” though he also warned that a final assessment “will take some time.”
(They didn't TARGET
the hidden ones.
Thats not what the issue is.
Duh.)
"Even so, Iran probably"
(Probably?
Are you kidding?)
retains highly enriched uranium,
centrifuge components and expertise
— a triad that will allow it
to reconstitute its program rapidly."
(Its not even going
to have to bother doing so.)
"First, it’s unclear how much weapons-grade or near-weapons-grade uranium the strikes even destroyed."
(None.
There's been no tell-tale signs
of increased radiation in the region
let alone in the area of the strikes.)
"According to the International Atomic Energy Agency, Iran had accumulated about 900 pounds of uranium enriched to 60 percent by May 17 — that’s enough for a handful of nuclear weapons after further enrichment. The organization’s director general, Rafael Grossi, has publicly indicated that, before hostilities began, Iran likely moved some or all of this material from the storage facility where it was under IAEA monitoring. Indeed, Vance had hinted hours earlier that that the material was still in Iranian hands."
"Iran has a decent shot at keeping that highly enriched uranium safe and secret. Such material is typically stored in small cylinders that are roughly the same size and shape as scuba tanks. Tracking them will be extremely difficult — even for the United States and Israel, despite their exquisite intelligence capabilities."
(And even harder now
as Iran has executed some Israeli spies.)
"The equipment to further enrich this material is also likely still at Iran’s disposal. Even if Israel has destroyed all of its centrifuge production facilities (and that’s far from certain), Iran has a large stockpile of centrifuge components."
(Forget that,
they have hidden enrichment facilities.)
"Moreover, given that Iran evacuated key facilities before the U.S. strikes, most of Iran’s cadre of skilled scientists and technicians have presumably survived. Starting with uranium enriched to 60 percent
and just 100 or 200
operating centrifuges,
they could likely produce enough weapons-grade uranium
for a bomb
in just a few weeks.
(They have more than a handfull
of hidden enrichment facilities with:
"just 100 or 200
operating centrifuges")
"The required facility
(It is not "required"
as they have multiple ones
hidden, already in operation.)
"would be much smaller than Fordow
(which was designed
for a few thousand centrifuges),
let alone Natanz
(designed for tens of thousands)."
(That statement right there is key.
I just wanna know
what makes anybody think
the Iranians didn't figure out
that they built them to big initially?
And KNOWING
that some day
we would come
and do what we just did?
What makes you think
knowing all of that ahead of time,
that they wouldn't make small
clandestine enrichment facilities
with
"just 100 or 200
operating centrifuges"
(Advanced that is)
and hide em all over the country?
In sectioned off paint factories,
chemical factories etc.
I want some Brainiac to come tell me
1) Why that isn't
exactly what happened,
or at a minimum
2) couldn't have happened.)
"Once it gives the go-ahead, however, Iranian technicians could likely get a facility of this size up and
running within a year
— quite possibly rather more quickly
given the speed at which
they have recently been able
to get centrifuges operational."
(Even the people telling you the truth
about what's going on
don't want you to know just how bad it is.
"quite possibly rather more quickly"
Because the shit is already in place yo.)
"To make matters worse, the U.S. and Israeli strikes may have increased Iran’s resolve to proliferate."
(May have?
May have?
We just gave them
the excuse they wanted
to do what they wanted to do
all along.
(Henry Stinson,
FDR Secretary of War in his diary:
"The question was,
we should maneuver them
(The Japanese)
into the position of firing the first shot,
without allowing
to much danger to ourselves.")
"Ahead of the U.S. attack, however, the intelligence community reportedly assessed that
striking Fordow
would likely induce Tehran
to make the political decision
to build the bomb."
(You gotta remember
what
you are dealing with:
This is what
the demon running
this show
wants:
"induce Tehran to make
the political decision
to build the bomb."
Only I would say
USE,
not make.)
Tuesday, May 6, 2025
has been handed over to Satan
for its destruction.
They wanna blow this shit up,
first this country,
and then the world
so they can get on to their
"AI and crypto world capital."
Trump promises to makeUS ’world capital’ of AI, crypto at Davos
"Well you don't know
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