Tuesday, February 14, 2023

This

 


one is going to be like writing a book.

Almost every paragraph gets a comment.

WARNING;

(I'm going to say a lot of:

'I said..."

It wasn't me saying it but the Holy Spirit working through me to say it.

Just try and keep it in mind. :-).


Western intelligence shows Russians amassing aircraft on Ukraine border


"Nato allies to prioritise rapid shipments of air defences and ammunition as conflict enters new phase.

(It's been going on a year

but now we decide they need:


"rapid shipments of air defences and ammunition"

(Im not even out of the headline and I'm commenting...probably a pretty good indicator of where this one is headed...)


(Please use the sharing tool lol...

Hey?

Sue me, 

I live in a garage, 

like I care, 

I wouldn't even have transportation to court etc?

Seein' the built in advantage for livin like I am now?

Anyway...)


"Intelligence shared among Nato allies shows that Russia is amassing fixed-wing and rotary aircraft on the border with Ukraine, according to two officials briefed on its contents.";

"In meetings with allied countries supporting Ukraine on Tuesday, US defence secretary Lloyd Austin highlighted the threat of Russia’s significant remaining air force."


“He was very clear that we have a short window of time to help the Ukrainians to prepare for an offensive and that they had some pretty specific needs,” a senior US administration official said.

(If the Ukrainians need air defenses?

And Russia's air force is largely intact?

Why wasn't it being utilized in such a 

"FULL SCALE"

 invasion?

And why diont the Ukrainians have adequate Air defenses bt now?

I brought all these point up a pretty good while ago in a "presentation" I did.)



“The Russian land forces are pretty depleted so it’s the best indication that they will turn this into an air fight. If the Ukrainians are going to survive . . . they need to have as many air defence capabilities and as much ammunition . . . as possible,” the official added.


(“The Russian land forces are pretty depleted'

Baloney. maybe the ones right there are.

But They have used only 2 out of 10 army units.

This has largely been:

The Wagner group, 

Draftees, 

inexperienced units with limited training, 

prisoners, 

volunteers, 

militias from the eastern providences of Ukraine 

and Chechens.

Notice the official said:

"If the Ukrainians are going to survive..."

Not:

"If the Ukrainians are going to be victorious" 

but :

"If they are going to live."

basically.)



"In a news conference later on Tuesday, Austin said the US did not see imminent signs of a “massive aerial attack” from Russia on Ukraine, but that Washington and its allies are rushing as much air defence capability to the country as they possibly can."

(Why wasn't this done a long time ago? 

We wouldn't be in such a rush rn. I mean I flat out said that all they (Ukrainians) had was old soviet era stuff for air defenses and that Russia wasn't using it's Air Force and this was a good while ago.)



We do know Russia has substantial aircraft . . . and a lot of capability left,” Austin said. Ukraine’s current air defences were “not enough and we’re going to keep pushing until we get more because that threat is out there”, he said. “We want to make sure they have the ability to protect themselves in the event Russia decides to introduce its air force into the fight.”


(We do know Russia has substantial aircraft . . .I'd be curious to know what was said where the ...was put in that statement.

And?

"...in the event Russia decides to introduce its air force into the fight."


That's the US secretary of defense talking.

Anytime somebody wants to come and explain to me how a 

"FULL SCALE INVASION"

DOESNT INCLUDE AN AIR COMPONENT IN IT?

IM ALL EARS...

"...in the event Russia decides to introduce its air force into the fight."

I've said since the convoy stalled on the way to Kiev:

"They are sandbagging."

 (= deceptive behavior intended to lower someone's expectations 

so that they can be taken by surprise later.)

Well guess what?

Looking like later is about here already according to NATO.)



(I mean:


“We want to make sure they have the ability to protect themselves in the event Russia decides to introduce its air force into the fight.”

Since the first weeks of the war, following President Vladimir Putin’s full-scale invasion on February 24 last year"


(Those two sentences are back to back in different paragraphs.

So how was it a "Full Scale Invasion" again?

 If it didn't include but only a small portion of the Russian Air Force?

I'm all ears... 

I got a table and a chair for who ever wants t come explain it to me.)




"Russia has used its sizeable air forces sparingly, relying instead on long-range missiles, artillery and land-based troops.

Western analysts had speculated that this could have been due to a fear in Moscow that Ukraine’s air defence systems posed a threat to Russian aircraft, or because its fleet was in poor condition."


(One:

"Russia has used its sizeable air forces sparingly..."

Defines sandbagging basically.


Two:

"Western analysts had speculated that this could have been due to a fear in Moscow that Ukraine’s air defence systems posed a threat to Russian aircraft, or because its fleet was in poor condition."

No. Not at all. Thats the dog that dont hunt they tried to sell ya.

I mean if that's the best Western analysts can do?

The we need a whole new set of analysts cause that is so far off as to be laughable at this point.)

"But intelligence assessments indicate that Russia’s air force is “actually quite preserved”, a senior Nato diplomat said.


“More than 80 per cent probably is safe and available . . . So we are expecting that they’re preparing to launch an air campaign and they’ve been trying to [disable] Ukrainian air defenses with attacks,” the diplomat said.


(All that you heard about the Russians:

"attacking civilian infrastructure"?

They were, don't get me wrong, but they knew there were  reconnaissance drones circling their positions on the ground and providing "real time" information and coordinates about their troop locations and movements so that they could be targeted. The relay towers relaying that real time information from the drones to  on the Ukrainians on the ground has been all but taken out at this point. So that, along with Elon Musk taking down the Ukrainians Starlink access? Yeah they have been disabling Ukrainian air defenses for a while. This will not be like it was a year ago and they are still using inexperienced, ill trained and ill equipped draftees. Still sand bagging.)


"The US is expected to announce another assistance package later this week, which will mostly include air defence and ammunition, according to people familiar with the matter."


"Ukrainian and Nato officials have in recent days warned of ammunition shortages, with western capitals growing concerned at the effect of strained defence supply chains and dwindling domestic stockpiles."


(Ever occur to any of these highly esteemed "Western Analyst" that this was part of the game plan all along? 

1st? They probe to see what your tactics will be in response. Then later (now) at their choosing? They adjust tactics based off what they have learned. Then? They get you depleting your weapons stockpiles, cause they knew the "Real" big one is still coming. They use the aforementioned hodgepodge of armed services members, (Chechens, prisoners', etc...) They use old rations, old ammo/equipment etc...Not because they were out but because they were saving it for when it matters the most. No "Western Analyst" can figure this out? Nobody reporting on it anywhere etc? Makes perfect sense...I mean where are peoples brains these days?

Where is the guy that is making more sense? Is my question.

I got a few things I wanna ask him about.)


"These immediate needs trumped longer-term requests for materiel such as fighter jets or quicker shipments of western battle tanks, officials said, given Russia’s new offensive, which Nato said on Monday had already begun.

“​​What Ukraine tells us that they really need is ammunition and additional air defence capabilities,” a western official said."


(This was over before it started. Other people don't fight wars like we do. Some countries don't care about battlefield losses. Some wars are drawn out on purpose to "break" the other side and that's exactly what this is doing, its a war of attrition the West was not prepared to fight post Covid.)


"President Joe Biden has said the US will not send F-16s but American officials concede they are likely to provide Ukraine with more sophisticated air power as the war drags on — or at least give a green light to the transfer of F-16s from other powers.'

(Were conceding that this gonna drag this now...)



"The allies’ meeting could also include talks about a greater number of more direct contracts between Kyiv and western defence companies, brokered and financed by allied countries, two officials said. That would streamline the flow of supplies from production line to deployment, while also acknowledging that western militaries have little more to give from their reserves."

(Think its an accident they launched their new offensive when they did?)




It's old school 'attritional warfare" and were loosing and were gonna continue to loose.


I still want somebody come explain to me how a 

FULL SCALE INVASION" 

doesn't use an air force? 


I love you baby.

TTYS honey.







 















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